The Atlanta Braves began to see some of the fruits of their multiple-year rebuilding project on 2017. After a pair of seasons with rough records and rosters that fans struggled to find future pieces on beyond budding superstar Freddie Freeman, the 2017 season saw 70+ wins for the first time in 3 seasons, though the team still lost 90.
Last season, this was done through Call To The Pen contributor Benjamin Chase’s previous other site, Tomahawk Take. He’s not there, so we’re happy to have the list here!
The making of the list
This top 100 list is the product of the views of CTTP contributor Benjamin Chase. Through either video views or discussions with contacts throughout the minor league/scouting world, Ben has put together this list, and it is his based on his opinion, and his personal weights on certain things will push players up and down – for instance, players with success at the upper minors will appear higher, all things being equal, and relievers will likely find themselves lower on Ben’s list than others’.
With the list coming out at this time, there are plenty of things that could come out in the offseason that changed the players on this list and their order. There are a number of players on this list that are eligible for minor league free agency and Rule 5, so it’s absolutely feasible that not every name on this list will make it all the way to spring training still as a member of the Atlanta Braves.
All players that still maintain rookie eligibility going into 2018 are eligible for this. From the 2016 list that Ben put together, 3 of the top 10 graduated with time spent at the majors and 5 of the top 20.
The list will come out with 20 players at a time, with #81-100, #61-80, #41-60, #21-40, and #1-20. Also at the end will be a post that offers up the entire list in list format (no player evaluations on those players) and also will add a number more players to keep track of beyond the top 100 that could move up quickly or that had positive 2017 seasons.
With that, we will continue with today’s installment, the top 20….
Next: #16-20
20. Travis Demeritte, 2B/3B, Mississippi
Born: 9/30/1994
2017 Stats: .231/.306/.402, 511 PA, 15 HR, 5 SB, 49/134 BB/K
Info: The New York City native graduated from high school in Georgia before being drafted by the Rangers. Acquired by his home-state Braves in 2016, he showed well in Carolina in a 35-game stint, and then he really made a positive impression in the Arizona Fall League last fall, especially with his defense at second base.
Demeritte’s 2017 season was one of significant streaks. A pair of early examples were his time from May 8th to June 4th when he went .289/.352/.639 with 9 home runs, a 9.3% BB rate, and a 25% K rate. He then followed that with a streak that extended from June 14th to July 23rd, where he hit .126/.209/.233 with 2 home runs, a 8.6% BB rate, and a 31% K rate. Extended streaks like that persisted throughout his season. He finished with a 9.6% walk rate and a 26.2% strikeout rate, which is an improvement on the 32.9% K rate he posted with Carolina after he was acquired in 2016, but there’s still tremendous growth needed.
19. A.J. Minter, LHP, Rome/Florida/Mississippi/Gwinnett/Atlanta
Born: 9/2/1993
2017 Stats: Minors: 26 G, 24 1/3 IP, 3.33 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 12/30 BB/K; Majors: 16 G, 15 IP, 3.00 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 2/26 BB/K
Info: The hope was to have Minter competing for a big league job early in the season, but injury delayed his start to the season. Minter made an appearance on April 11th and then did not make his second appearance of the season until June 12th. Minter’s electric fastball and double-plus slider is a rare blend of pitches that could be a legit consideration for a top 100 list as a left-handed reliever, which is something that is incredibly rare to see. Minter works well against both sides of the plate, but with his 6′ and 205 pounds frame, the injury issues that he’s seen already are not likely going to be completely gone anytime soon. His big arm should end up being in the Braves bullpen to open 2018.
18. Kyle Muller, LHP, Danville
Born: 10/7/1997
2017 Stats: 11 GS, 47 2/3 IP, 4.15 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 18/49 BB/K
Info: Muller was the third pitcher the Braves selected in the 2016 draft. A two-way star, many thought Muller was certain to go to the University of Texas to have the opportunity to both swing the bat and pitch. Instead, the Braves got him to agree to sign. Focusing on pitching solely has been a change for Muller, and he’s taken some time in his adaption in that role, but the raw skills are extremely loud. His delivery is such that Muller ends up with a high 3/4 arm slot at 6’6″ tall, creating tremendous plane on his pitches. Muller is still filling into some velocity in his frame, adding roughly 20 pounds since being drafted, to between 220-230 now on his 6’6″ frame, and he’s certainly trimmed off some “baby fat” in the midst of that growth. Though he struck out a ton of hitters in high school, his mid-90s fastball is most effective low in the zone in creating ground ball contact, but his curve is still inconsistent in its break. As he tightens that and continues to develop his change, he’ll be elite.
17. Patrick Weigel, RHP, Mississippi/Gwinnett
Born: 7/8/1994
2017 Stats: 15 GS, 78 1/3 IP, 4.14 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 28/68 BB/K
Info: Weigel opened his 2017 the way he’d closed his 2016, dominating hitters, this time at the AA level to the tune of a 2.89 ERA and 1.15 WHIP with Mississippi over 7 starts. He was bumped up to Gwinnett, and after a blow up in his 2nd start at Gwinnett, he was throwing extremely well until his last start, when afterward it was revealed that he would need Tommy John surgery (remove the final start of the year and the 2nd start at Gwinnett, and he had a 1.72 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, and 14/27 BB/K over 36 2/3 IP with Gwinnett). Weigel has conquered what was his biggest issue in college at Houston, his struggles with his delivery. At 6’6″ and ~250ish pounds, Weigel has a surprisingly repeatable and consistent delivery. Weigel still possesses a fastball that ranges into triple digits along with two breaking balls that are really polishing off to be plus pitches as well. His change flashed above-average at times, but it really only need be an average major league pitch for Weigel to be an effective mid-rotation starter. If he could get the change to play up to a plus pitch, he has the makings of an elite starter. Even coming back from the Tommy John, which likely won’t happen until late in 2018, Weigel should be one of the highest-regarded pitching prospects in the entire Braves system currently with the high floor he’s established if he even gets a minimal level of his velocity and some feel for his breakers as a power reliever.
B4: William Contreras rips a double in the left-center gap, Cruz scores and your #DBraves grab a 1-0 lead! pic.twitter.com/ZJDq6mbjDb
— Danville Braves (@DanvilleBraves) September 1, 2017
16. William Contreras, C, Danville
Born: 12/24/1997
2017 Stats: .290/.379/.432, 198 PA, 4 HR, 1 SB, 24/30 BB/K
Info: The brother of Cubs catcher Willson Contreras, William has flown under the radar with a number of Braves evaluators (though not this one if you’ve been reading my top 100s the last few years), but his 2017 season was truly his breakout year as a prospect. While he’ll likely not get on any top 100 lists, I can tell you from a number of people around the industry that he is considered at the end of those lists right now, and that alone is a huge stride. Contreras is a very impressive package, with defense behind the plate that’s more polished than his brother (albeit without the same level of arm, though that just means plus vs. plus-plus) and bat skills that are certainly impressive and lead to thinking that Contreras could be a guy to not only hit for power, but also get on base at a good rate.
Next: #11-15
15. Bryse Wilson, RHP, Rome
Born: 12/20/1997
2017 Stats: 26 GS, 137 IP, 2.50 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 37/139 BB/K
Info: Many knew the top 3 high school arms the Braves selected in 2016 as an elite group, but the guys who’s put up the best numbers in his minor league career thus far is actually Wilson, the Braves’ 4th round selection in that draft. Wilson had a dominant senior season, throwing multiple no-hitters. Known for his dominant fastball/breaker combo really played well in Rome this season, with his change working well when he did use it, though the quality of the pitch still has a lot to be desired. Wilson’s long arm action could lead to him being a reliever in the end, but he’s shown the ability to handle a heavy workload on his arm and has a very good build to handle the wear and tear of innings. Continuing to push forward on the consistency of his arm slot and break of his breaking ball will only allow Wilson to move from a #3/4 guy to a guy who could work more near the top of a rotation.
14. Drew Waters, OF, GCL/Danville
Born: 12/30/1998
2017 Stats: .278/.362/.429, 224 PA, 4 HR, 6 SB, 23/70 BB/K
Info: Waters was considered the top prep bat in Georgia this season, which usually is a guy that goes early in the first round, so the Braves were delighted to see him there in the 2nd round, giving them an elite pair with their dream guy falling to them in the first round as well. Waters has a very impressive balance of power and speed along with advanced athleticism. He will need some work on pitch recognition and zone recognition, but even then, he drew walks at over a 10% rate on the season. He just accompanied that with a 31.3% strikeout rate. There’s no reason to rush Waters, but it wouldn’t surprise if he opens with Rome in 2018 and spends the season there, with an opportunity to be an elite outfielder if he can develop his recognition further.
13. Joey Wentz, LHP, Rome
Born: 10/6/1997
2017 Stats: 26 GS, 131 2/3 IP, 2.60 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 46/152 BB/K
Info: Wentz and Muller had a lot in common coming out of high school, though Wentz had focused primarily on his pitching in his final year of high school with the intention of being drafted and becoming a pro, while Muller had a strong college commit that may have allowed him to continue working both ways. Wentz was a power hitting first baseman until the showcase season before his senior year, when he showed a mid-90s fastball and an elite curve. While he was considered a top prospect based on just that, his projectable size also allowed for many teams to feel that even when his velocity “dropped” in his senior year, that he’d end up adding velocity as he filled out. Wentz continued seeing the same velocity this season, leading to many questioning his future, but Wentz showed he can be very effective at that velocity, using tremendous location and movement to generate plenty of strikeouts. Wentz could still add that velocity, as he just turned 20 in October, and he has some filling into his 6’5″ frame still to do, but even without that velocity, Braves fans should not allow themselves to be overwhelmed by news from sources that discuss his long-term future in a negative light solely because of his velocity, because at the velocity hes showed in 2017, Wentz could be a very effective #3/4 guy. If he can develop that extra tick or two, he could have front line upside.
12. Touki Toussaint, RHP, Florida/Mississippi
Born: 6/20/1996
2017 Stats: 26 GS, 145 IP, 4.53 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 64/167 BB/K
Info: Toussaint worked hard with Braves pitching guru Dennis Lewalyn at Florida, and the change was slow, but when it took, he was ready for a move. His last four starts with Florida, he threw 26 innings, had a 6/26 BB/K, and had a 2.42 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. Once in Mississippi, Toussaint had rumors swirling constantly about a move to the bullpen, though he never once threw out of the bullpen. Now, this fall, he’s working out of the bullpen in Arizona, and his fastball is able to reach triple digits in short stints while the curveball remains an absolute force. Toussaint has made significant strides in his composure on the mound. He saw his walk rate drop a significant amount in 2017, even though it was still at 10%, which is too high, but the strides made in his approach on the mound has allowed for him to show the top end, front line starter talent that he’s always possessed. His AFL showing has given an indication of his elite level he could hold as a bullpen piece as a “fall back”.
11. Alex Jackson, C, Florida/Mississippi
Born: 12/25/1995
2017 Stats: .267/.328/.480, 402 PA, 19 HR, 23/106 BB/K
Info: After struggling in the Mariners system to reach his immense talent level, the Braves returned Jackson to his high school position when they acquired him in the offseason. Jackson understandably was raw at the position, but he has made significant strides over the course of the year, such that a few people I trust who have seen him in Arizona have stated that he has a definite future behind the plate. Now, they aren’t calling him the best defensive backstop in Arizona or anything like that, but he has made significant strides. At the same time, he saw the ability to finally tap into the immense natural power that he has always possessed, even in the power-suppressing Florida State League. Jackson will open in Mississippi most likely in 2018 after only getting 30 games at the level in 2017. He could make a September appearance, getting himself ready for a longer appearance in 2019.
Next: #6-10
10. Cristian Pache, OF, Rome
Born: 11/19/1998
2017 Stats: .281/.335/.343, 0 HR, 32 SB, 39/104 BB/K
Info: Looking at Pache, you’d immediately see the speed he possesses, with his long, lean build that is graded at least a 65 if not a 70 or better. He’s also one of the most elite outfield defenders, not in the Braves system, which would be very impressive, but in the entire minor leagues. Pache has a very impressive contact ability, but his swing has an awkward path that does not maximize his natural frame the way that it could. Some have mentioned above-average power in the batting cage, but he struggles to get that power in game due to his swing issues. He is excellent in getting the bat on the ball, however, and with his speed, he can beat out plenty of balls. Pache still has work to do on his base stealing as he was successful only on 70% of his attempts, and with his speed, that number should be much higher. After spending the year at Rome in 2017, he’ll open 2018 in Florida, most likely, and as he develops that power, Pache could develop into a right-handed version of a young Steve Finley.
9. Ian Anderson, RHP, Rome
Born: 5/2/1998
2017 Stats: 20 GS, 83 IP, 3.14 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 43/101 BB/K
Info: Many were surprised, even shocked, when the Braves eschewed many of the top rankings around on the Internet and chose Anderson at #3 overall in the 2016 draft. The Braves have since been shown correct in their instincts on the righty from New York. After being quite impressive in his pro debut in 2016, the Braves moved him up to Rome for his first full-season, opening the season still just 18 (he’d turn 19 a month after opening day). Anderson struggled with some injury bugaboos over the 2017 season, but when he was healthy and took the hill, he looked incredibly impressive. Anderson showed a fastball that can run into the upper 90s with some impressive life along with a curve that really left hitters looking foolish. Anderson has good feel for a change that grades out as plus. Keeping himself healthy for a season is really the one hurdle Anderson has left at this point. He’ll be 19 to open 2018, and likely the Braves will push him up to Florida, but there is legit front line starter potential here.
8. Austin Riley, 3B, Florida/Mississippi
Born: 4/2/1997
2017 Stats: .275/.339/.446, 542 PA, 20 HR, 2 SB, 43/124 BB/K
Info: Many have labeled Riley ever since the Braves drafted him with the 41st overall selection in the 2015 draft. First, the Braves made the irregular choice (at the time) to have Riley become a hitter rather than a pitcher when he had a mid-90s fastball off the mound. Riley then came out and had an impressive pro debut, flashing potential double-plus power while still hitting over .300 in his draft year. Then the word was all about Riley’s defense and the major issues he had on the defensive side. He came out in 2016 and worked hard to become an average defender, continuing that work this season to make himself into a slightly above-average defender at the hot corner. The issue then was about Riley’s “slow” bat due to his long load into the zone. Riley just went about adjusting his positioning in the box and studying pitchers in the league to allow him to be ready for the pitches coming at him. That progress really took hold in his stint in Mississippi, where he hit .315/.389/.511 with a 9.9% walk rate and 24.6% strikeout rate, an impressive improvement at the highest level he’s ever played at. Riley has simply impressed in Arizona at the AFL this year, hitting monster shots and making all sorts of hard contact. Riley has truly asserted himself not just as the Atlanta Braves third baseman of the future, but the third basemen of the NEAR future, very feasibly getting a late-season call up in 2018 after likely spending the majority of the season in the upper minors.
7. Max Fried, LHP, Mississippi/Gwinnett/Atlanta
Born: 1/18/1994
2017 Stats: Minors: 21 GS, 92 2/3 IP, 5.54 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 45/91 BB/K; Majors: 9 G, 4 GS, 26 IP, 3.81 ERA, 1.62 WHIP, 12/22 BB/K
Info: Early in 2017, Fried was very obviously injured. The lefty with a fastball that can reach the mid-90s along with one of the most difficult curves to hit in the minor leagues along with good feel on his change struggled to finish his delivery, and the issue was evident in the “snap” on his pitches. He didn’t get near the same movement on his fastball, break on his curve, or movement on his change as he did in 2016 with Rome. He seemed to find his stride finally just before a call up to the big leagues as he was slowly building up arm strength after sitting out nearly a month from June 29th to July 21st. The Braves initially used Fried in a relief role, but he was put into the starting rotation in September and threw very well, posting a 3.44 ERA in 4 starts, with a 6/16 BB/K over 18 1/3 innings. Fried has been the talk of the Arizona Fall League as well, as he’s made 5 starts, throwing 23 innings, allowing a 1.96 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, and a 7/29 BB/K ratio. Fried should be a strong candidate for the 2018 Braves rotation.
6. Kyle Wright, RHP, GCL/Florida
Born: 10/2/1995
2017 Stats: 9 GS, 17 IP, 2.65 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 6/18 BB/K
Info: Arguably the best overall player in the 2017 draft class, Wright was most certainly the top-rated collegiate arm, with an impressive mix of pitches along with a good frame that would indicate an ability to hold up over a heavy workload. After plenty of college innings, the Braves were light on his workload this season, but he’ll likely be getting a heavy load in 2018. Wright works in the 92-94 range with his fastball with incredible movement, making it play up to a near double-plus pitch, but pushing it up to 95-97 straightens it out and makes the pitch less effective, which is why keeping the top velocity in his holster for rare occasions is a wise idea.
Wright can throw his slider with two movements, one with a more traditional slider movement and one with more of a cutter movement, both thrown harder than a typical slider. His curve is a power curve and has good form, but he has a tendency with falling in love with burying the pitch, and hitters learned to lay off the pitch his final year at Vanderbilt, making its effectiveness moot, but if he can locate the pitch on the corners roughly knee high, it’s an impossible pitch for hitters to square. Wright hasn’t had to use a change a ton, but he throws one that’s in the mold of Felix Hernandez‘s with impressive life on the pitch, even though it isn’t necessarily related heavily to the movement on his fastball.
Wright could very feasibly rank at the top of this list in a year, if he doesn’t push his way all the way to the big league rotation by the end of 2018, when he should spend the majority of the year in the upper minors.
Next: #1-5
5. Kevin Maitan, SS, GCL/Danville
Born: 2/12/2000
2017 Stats: .241/.290/.340, 176 PA, 2 HR, 2 SB, 11/49 BB/K
Info: Possibly the most hyped international signing since Miguel Cabrera, and certainly since Miguel Sano, Maitan was strongly tied to the Braves for almost two full years before signing, though he was very actively recruited by a number of other teams before finalizing his deal in July of 2016. Maitan opened his professional career in the Gulf Coast League, moving to Danville after a short 9-game stretch in the GCL. Maitan played all shortstop on the season, and he showed quality instincts at the position, though his range had already started to be limited by his increasing size. Maitan may be moving to third soon, and there is some legit concern about Maitan keeping his size in check as he matures, but for a 17 year-old in his first professional at bats, Maitan showed well. He was aggressive within the zone and had good zone recognition, but his pitch recognition still could use some polish. Maitan’s bat was impressive in the raw power he was able to display in batting practice, but he’s still working to translate that to game power. The ceiling is such that he’d be the #1 prospect, yes, even over a certain outfielder. However, he’s also still just 17 and likely to play at Rome for his first experience of full-season ball, which is why I have him at 5 for now. I certainly won’t have an issue with seeing him #1 very quickly, however!
4. Kolby Allard, LHP, Mississippi
Born: 8/13/1997
2017 Stats: 27 GS, 150 IP, 3.18 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 45/129 BB/K
Info: Okay, time for some crow. This spring, when Allard was promoted up to AA to open the season, I was more than just a little skeptical. After watching of both, I was certain his fellow Rome rotation mates that were jumping over Florida would be fine, but I was worried about Allard based on what I’d seen with him at Rome. That had nothing at all to do with the raw stuff. Allard has stuff that’s as impressive as any pitcher in the entire system, and coming from the left side, that’s even more impressive. It had to do with how Allard had responded in 2016 to challenging situations and mistakes behind him – essentially things that could use a slower path, not a quick jump to the upper minors.
Instead, Allard made me look silly for worrying in the least. No, he didn’t strike out batters at the same rate as in Danville and Rome in 2016, but he really showed a ton as far as his composure on the mound, his ability to handle a bad outing, and working through tough situations within an inning or even an at bat. He had hitters missing the barrel on all of his pitches, rarely squaring a pitch well along the way.
Allard is likely headed up to Gwinnett in 2018 to open the season, but he’s shown enough to certainly believe he could push the major league rotation by the end of the season. Either way, I could see him factoring into the rotation in a major way by at least mid-2019.
3. Luiz Gohara, LHP, Florida/Mississippi/Gwinnett/Atlanta
Born: 7/31/1996
2017 Stats: Minors: 26 G, 25 GS, 123 2/3 IP, 2.62 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 44/147 BB/K; Majors: 5 GS, 29 1/3 IP, 4.91 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 8/31 BB/K
Info: Immediately upon acquiring Gohara last offseason, I put him into the top 10 of Braves prospects, and I heard some hard feedback that it was way too soon, he hadn’t done enough yet, etc. A year later, and there could be a very strong argument that he’s the top pitching prospect in the entire system!
Gohara struggled with injury and keeping his delivery his first few years with the Mariners system before dropping almost 75 pounds total from offseason to his lowest weight. He gained some of that back, but he’s certainly seen the benefit of being nearly 40 pounds lighter in repeating his motion and staying on the field.
In 2017, Gohara immediately was one of, if not the best, pitchers in the entire Florida State League. He was promoted after 7 starts to Mississippi, where he showed very well before another 7-start stop in Gwinnett. Finally, Gohara made a handful of starts with the big league club with an ERA that was not fitting his peripheral numbers at all.
Gohara works with a fastball and slider that are both at or near 80-grade pitches, top of the scouting grade scale. His change ranges from below-average to above-average depending on the day, but he really doesn’t even need the pitch to be great, just a “show me” pitch enough to keep hitters honest. With that two-pitch arsenal, a guy like Randy Johnson had a long big league career. While not 6’11”, Gohara is a big man on the mound, and with his intimidating presence and stuff, he should fit very well into the Atlanta rotation in 2018 from opening day.
2. Mike Soroka, RHP, Mississippi
Born: 8/4/1997
2017 Stats: 26 GS, 153 2/3 IP, 2.75 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 34/125 BB/K
Info: So, while I had concerns with Allard, I had the least concerns with Soroka of any of the Rome staff with the jump to Mississippi. That in spite of Soroka being a teenager for the majority of the 2017 season.
Soroka showed exactly the stuff and composure that I assumed he would in the challenge of the jump to AA. He sported his lowest ERA and WHIP of his three-year professional career in 2017 as a teenager in the upper minors. He also cleared 150 innings, his second season over 140 innings, which is a positive sign for increasing his innings to a full MLB season’s workload in 2018.
Soroka has excellent stuff, and he is tremendous about pitching around the zone with that stuff. He’s able to manipulate all of his pitches in multiple ways to really give him 8-9 looks for a hitter that he could throw, and that constantly keeps hitters from getting the best part of the bat on the ball.
Soroka will likely open 2018 in Gwinnett, but as calm and collected as he is on the mound, he could earn a promotion to Atlanta by the end of the season.
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1. Ronald Acuna, OF, Florida/Mississippi/Gwinnett
Born: 12/18/1997
2017 Stats: .325/.374/.522, 612 PA, 21 HR, 44 SB, 43/144 BB/K
Info: Is there truly any question who would end up here? Heck, Acuna very well may end up #1 in all of baseball, so ending up #1 on the Braves list is a given at this point.
Acuna missed out on a lot of 2016 due to a thumb injury. Because of that, the Braves sent him to the Australian winter league, where he was absolute dominant. Then he had little time off before spring training started, where Acuna made a huge impression in major league spring training before heading to the minor league portion late in the spring.
He opened the season with Florida, and interestingly, he hit worst at high-A, and not just in batting average. His walk rate with Florida was 6.3%, and he struck out at a 31.7% clip. With Mississippi, that went to 7.4% walk rate and 23% strikeout rate. Finally, with Gwinnett, he finished the year with a 7% walk rate and a 19.8% strikeout rate.
Acuna has elite skills across the board, but while he’s stealing bases at a good clip now and should maintain above-average speed, his biggest offensive tool as he matures should certainly be his power, which is plus-plus raw and is already showing as plus in-game power. In the Arizona Fall League, Acuna has picked up where he left off, hitting .344/.425/.672 over 17 games with 5 doubles and 5 home runs.
If the Braves can clear one of the corner spots, Acuna should move into a starting spot at the major league level in 2018. If not on opening day, he should certainly push for that spot soon into the season.
That’s it! What did you think? Any surprises? Questions? Comment below!!