Odds for Each Phillies’ Promotion Candidate
By Tal Venada
To earn advancement to the majors, prospects with outstanding production can influence teams out of the postseason hunt like the Philadelphia Phillies to find spots on their 25-man roster.
The Other July Deadline:
In many facets of employment, performance-based promotions require the qualifications for the position in order to fill an immediate need.
In this review, the percentages do not add up to 100 percent but are the odds of each player to join the parent club after the first half. And the last-reviewed MiLB regulars are more likely to receive a call-up before September. But keep in mind, if a starter with the Phils is blocking a minor leaguer, it affects the advancement percentages of that youngster. However, hot or cold streaks can change these estimates in short order.
After a strong showing in March (.366), second baseman Jesmuel Valentin‘s average dropped from .311 on April 20 to .229 on May 12 at the time of his separated shoulder. But he only hit .157 for his last 51 at-bats prior to diving for a ball and reinjuring a previous separation. And because he had shoulder surgery, he probably won’t be returning this season.
Odds: 1 percent.
Outfielder Roman Quinn again did not complete the first half but might return by late July. He was hitting .274 with 10 steals in 14 attempts but hadn’t completely earned consideration for a promotion. Of course, he’ll probably need all of August to demonstrate his readiness for the major leagues.
Odds: 5 percent.
In order for shortstop J.P. Crawford to advance to the Show, he will only need to bat .250 because his OBP is 119 points higher than his average. In fact, he has 37 walks to 42 strikeouts and he’ll probably hit .250 or more in 2018 for a promotion. And even if he goes on a tear after returning from a nagging groin strain, he’ll only don the red pinstripes during the final month.
Odds: 10 percent.
"IN OTHER WORDS: “You don’t come up expecting to be a fan favorite. When I was a rookie, I was just trying to make a name for myself, but people already knew who I was and already had expectations for me.” – Tim “the Freak” Lincecum"