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2012 MLB Season Preview: St. Louis Cardinals

By Chris Carelli |
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The next team we’ll cover on Call to the Pen’s 2012 MLB Season Preview series is the defending World Series Champion St. Louis Cardinals.

2011 ST. LOUIS CARDINALS SEASON RECAP

Despite John Mozeliak’s best efforts, he and Albert Pujols could not come to an agreement on a contract extension. Talks ceased once the Cardinals reached Jupiter, FL and eventually Albert left to play for the Los Angeles Angels.

Adam Wainwright was hurt in late February forcing him to have Tommy John surgery and was lost for the season. In an instant the Cardinals were behind the eight ball and seemed to be in that spot the entire season.

Ryan Franklin blew four save chances and the closer carousel began for the Cardinals, as Franklin was done in the role within the first couple weeks of the season. He was later released.

The Cardinals took a flyer on signing Lance Berkman to a one-year deal and it paid off especially in the beginning of the season when his bat carried the team while Pujols struggled. Berkman ended the season hitting .301 with 31 home runs and 94 RBI.

Pujols was just not himself through May suffering from his worst two months in a Cardinals’ uniform. Once June began Pujols started to find his groove. He finished very strong and his overall numbers resembled more the player Cardinals’ fans expected. His final line was .299, 105 R, 37 HR and 99 RBI.

Chris Carpenter was a workhorse, throwing 237 innings (which he may be paying for now). He was 11-9 with a 3.46 ERA and 191 K’s. Kyle Lohse led the team with 14 wins and a 3.39 ERA. Jaime Garcia had a good sophomore performance going 13-7. The closer role was Fernando Salas‘ for a better part of the year. But by late August manager Tony La Russa handed the reins over to Jason Motte. He recorded the Cardinals’ final nine saves and was practically unhittable during the postseason.

The Cardinals were active on the trade front in July, dealing much maligned outfielder Colby Rasmus along with Trevor Miller, Brian Tallet, and P.J. Walters to the Toronto Blue Jays for Edwin Jackson, Marc Rzepczynski, Octavio Dotel and Corey Patterson. Jackson, Rzepczynski and Dotel ended up being major contributors for the remainder of the season. At the trade deadline the Cardinals traded AA outfielder, Alex Castellanos, to the Los Angeles Dodgers for shortstop Rafael Furcal.

The Redbirds entered the final month of the season 8.5 games behind the Milwaukee Brewers in the NL Central and 8.5 games behind the Atlanta Braves in the Wild Card standings. With 28 games left to try to get back in the race(s), the Cardinals won 20 of them. The Braves went in the complete opposite direction and the Cards ended up winning the wild card spot on the final day of the season finishing the regular season 90-72.

The team never quit despite the numerous injuries and that attitude translated into a magnificent run to the World Series title.

2011 CARDINALS POSTSEASON

The Cardinals dispatched of the Philadelphia Phillies in the Division Series and then beat the Brewers in the National League Championship series four games to two.

The Cardinals met the Texas Rangers in the World Series with home-field advantage in their pocket. The Rangers had a three games to two lead over the Cards going into Game 6, which went down as one of the most memorable games in World Series history. Down to their final strike twice, the Cardinals came back to win the game thanks to the heroics of David Freese. The Redbirds went on to seal the deal in Game 7 en route to winning their 11th World Series title. Freese was named the World Series MVP.

CARDINALS SUBTRACTIONS

Mar 5, 2012; Jupiter, FL. USA; St. Louis Cardinals right fielder

CARDINALS ADDITIONS

CARDINALS PROJECTED LINEUP

  1. Rafael Furcal, ss
  2. Carlos Beltran, rf
  3. Matt Holliday, lf
  4. Lance Berkman, 1b
  5. David Freese, 3b
  6. Yadier Molina, c
  7. Jon Jay, cf
  8. Tyler Greene or Daniel Descalso, 2b

This projects to be the lineup used most often, but numbers 2-7 will be fluid.

KEY INJURED POSITION PLAYERS

  1. Allen Craig
  2. Skip Schumaker

CARDINALS PROJECTED ROTATION

  1. Adam Wainwright
  2. Jaime Garcia
  3. Kyle Lohse
  4. Jake Westbrook
  5. Lance Lynn

KEY INJURED ROTATION MEMBERS

  1. Chris Carpenter (DL)

CARDINALS PROJECTED BULLPEN

At this point any of the last three players on the bullpen list could take the final spot depending on what Mike Matheny is thinking. If he wants a second left-hander in the pen then he’ll have to decide between Boggs and Linebrink, young vs. veteran presence.  If he decides against the second lefty then he keeps Boggs and Linebrink.

CARDINALS PROSPECT TO WATCH

The Cardinals have six players in Baseball America’s top 100 prospect list from 2012. While Shelby Miller is tops on that list, Oscar Taveras is the prospect to watch. The 19 year-old outfielder impressed in major league camp this spring. He has the potential to be a major star in this league. He hit .386 in the Midwest League last season. He needs some refinement in the running game but his bat is legitimate. It will be interesting to see how he responds this season and how quickly he can climb the organizational ladder. By 2014 he could be a mainstay in the Cardinals’ lineup.

2012 ST. LOUIS CARDINALS OUTLOOK

Mike Matheny replaces La Russa, who announced his retirement 3 days after the World Series concluded. Derek Lilliquist takes over the pitching coach duties from Dave Duncan who is on an indefinite leave of absence to care for his ailing wife. Matheny’s and Lilliquist’s managing and coaching is going to be different than their predecessors, but they have much of the same nucleus to work with.

The pitching staff is already down one man. Chris Carpenter has been shut down indefinitely due to neck issues which is also causing pain in his shoulder and arm. Doctors have determined this is nerve related. Carpenter has dealt with this same issue three separate times and each time has had its own timetable. Right now the best case scenario for his return is two months, but that is very optimistic. The Cards are going to try using in-house measures at the beginning of the season and see how they can weather the loss.

Adam Wainwright, who missed 2011 due to Tommy John surgery, has looked better each time out this spring. He resumes his role as the team’s ace with the loss of Carpenter. But due to the timing of the injury, Kyle Lohse will now get the Opening Day start. Wainwright will be in line to start the home opener at Busch Stadium. Jake Westbrook looks to be in great physical shape and is throwing groundballs at a high rate. Jaime Garcia continues to be an enigma. His ability to pitch deep into games has to change as Lohse and Westbrook do not provide length in their starts. Lance Lynn, who is filling in for Carpenter, has looked more than capable of being a spot starter for short and long periods of time. Now it will be a minimum of two months.

The pen features Jason Motte, who will be the closer to start the season. He’s backed by players also capable of closing such as Fernando Salas and Eduardo Sanchez. Marc Rzepczynski is the lefty specialist and the team has to decide if they want another lefty in J.C. Romero. Kyle McClellan will be in the bullpen this season. Mitchell Boggs is being outperformed by veteran wild card Scott Linebrink. If Matheny wants the veteran don’t be shocked if he takes the last spot instead of Boggs.

March 12, 2012; Melbourne, FL, USA; St. Louis Cardinals third baseman David Freese (23) is congratulated by

The Cardinals’ lineup has the ability to be as potent as last season without Albert Pujols provided there is balanced to production. The Redbirds will need Rafael Furcal, who signed a two-year/$14 million contract, to revert back to the player he was a few years ago as the table-setter for the team. Carlos Beltran, who inked a two-year/$26 million deal, could get many starts in the number two hole and Matt Holliday will be the number-three hitter. David Freese and Lance Berkman will flip flop the four and five spot depending on the pitching match-up. Yadier Molina, who signed a five-year extension in the offseason, will look to build upon a successful offensive 2011 season combined. Jon Jay will likely hit seventh and play centerfield, though Matheny is going to give Beltran some time in center when there is a lefty on the mound. The winner of the second base competition, Daniel Descalso or Tyler Greene will round out the lineup. There may be a new style of manufacturing runs through the running game, but the team still has plenty of power. The team has a few players who can carry a team if needed. The loss of Pujols will be felt, but is not detrimental.

On the bench will be the loser of the second base starter’s role and possibly one other infielder. The backup catcher will be either Tony Cruz or Bryan Anderson. With Skip Schumaker sidelined and Allen Craig’s availability unknown there are several players still looking at the chance to make the team as of this writing. Matt Carpenter, Mark Hamilton, Erik Komatsu, Adron Chambers, and Shane Robinson are all expected to receive consideration for bench roles due to their versatility and production this spring. The bench is going to be important this season in order to rest regulars on occasion in an effort to keep them fresh.

Had this preview been written two weeks ago the final few paragraphs would probably read much differently. Losing Carpenter is not going to be easy for this club. They have five guys very capable to pick up the slack. However, when it counts, no one would want any of them on the mound, besides maybe Wainwright, instead of Carpenter. He is a big game pitcher.

Best case scenario has Carpenter back and strong by mid-season and the Cardinals holding their own in the NL Central race. Provided there are no other significant injuries on either side of the ball, the Cards should be able to stay very competitive. The lineup is strong top to bottom and the bench is deep. They can outhit many teams in the National League and could compensate for any pitching woes.

Worst case scenario has Carpenter missing the season. The plus, if there is one, is that the Cards did not break the bank this winter. They have the necessary resources to sign a player like Roy Oswalt or make a trade for a rental player for the stretch run.

If health stays on their side from here onward, the Cards still have a good shot of making the playoffs. The better part of the roster has experience getting by without a top pitcher along with other injuries. Remembering that will aid them this season. Should they reach the postseason the Cardinals could do something very special in 2012. They would have the chance to repeat as World Series Champions. That has a nice ring to it, doesn’t it Cardinals’ fans?

Find your team’s 2012 season preview or when it will be published here.

Be sure to check out all of Call to the Pen’s transaction breakdowns for the 2011-12 offseason. You can follow Call to the Pen on Twitter at @FSCalltothePen or like us here on Facebook. You can also subscribe to our RSS feed.

You can follow Chris Carelli on Twitter at @Chris_Carelli.

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