#1: Aroldis Chapman
Aroldis Chapman will likely be the most-discussed reliever in terms of the trade deadline. So far this year, he’s made 14 appearances for the New York Yankees, saved 10 games, and posted a 2.08 ERA. He’s also struck out 19 batters in his limited time since returning from a 30-game suspension.
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The Yankees don’t need both Andrew Miller and Chapman, so look for at least one of them to be dealt. If New York comes to its senses and realizes that the team isn’t a true World Series contender this year, the Yanks could trade both of them – but that seems unlikely. (And with their payroll, they can get away with it.)
The left-handed Chapman was acquired from the Reds over the winter, despite the fact that Miller was already an outstanding closer. Chapman is equally good, with 100+ mph fastballs that have helped make him a four-time All-Star with the Cincinnati Reds. His career 2.17 ERA over seven years and 332 innings is phenomenal, and he strikes out plenty of batters – 565 total, to be exact.
Chapman is going to be a free agent at the end of the year, so his $11.3 million contact is not likely to be an impediment to most teams (excluding, of course, small market clubs like the Indians and Pirates). Of course, any club who trades for Chapman is also trading for the baggage that accompanies his early-season suspension for domestic violence, but in the end, most general managers will base their trade decisions on on-field performance.
Possible Landing Spot: New York Yankees
Yes, even though a potential Chapman trade will generate a lot of discussion among general managers and fans alike, ultimately, it’s hard to see the Yankees giving up on the season. They might deal Miller, but Chapman was their big off-season acquisition, and selling him off is a good way to anger the fanbase. Since the Yanks can just buy more players next year, they don’t need to trade in the way that teams like the Athletics and Brewers do. Chapman will still be in pinstripes after the deadline passes.