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2016 MLB Home Run Derby Preview and Predictions

By Michael Cambria

Jul 13, 2015; Cincinnati, OH, USA; National League third baseman Todd Frazier (21) of the Cincinnati Reds celebrates winning the 2015 Home Run Derby with a championship belt the day before the MLB All Star Game at Great American Ballpark. Mandatory Credit: Frank Victores-USA TODAY Sports
Jul 13, 2015; Cincinnati, OH, USA; National League third baseman Todd Frazier (21) of the Cincinnati Reds celebrates winning the 2015 Home Run Derby with a championship belt the day before the MLB All Star Game at Great American Ballpark. Mandatory Credit: Frank Victores-USA TODAY Sports /
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Jun 29, 2016; San Diego, CA, USA; Baltimore Orioles right fielder Mark Trumbo (45) hits a two RBI double during the ninth inning against the San Diego Padres at Petco Park. Mandatory Credit: Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports
Jun 29, 2016; San Diego, CA, USA; Baltimore Orioles right fielder Mark Trumbo (45) hits a two RBI double during the ninth inning against the San Diego Padres at Petco Park. Mandatory Credit: Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports /

Round 1.

(1) Mark Trumbo defeats Dodgers rookie Corey Seager (8) easily.

Mark Trumbo is absolutely scorching the ball this season for the AL East leading Baltimore Orioles, and he’ll have his way in the first round against 22-year old shortstop Corey Seager. Trumbo’s right-handed swing should play well with the dimensions of the spacious Petco Park, which is just 336 feet down the left-field line.

(4) Robison Cano will fall to MLB’s hottest hitter (5) Giancarlo Stanton

While Robbie Cano finally snapped his home run drought on Wednesday after going 17-straight games without a long ball, Giancarlo Stanton will enter Monday night’s Home Run Derby on another level. Over the course of his last 26 at-bats, Stanton has crushed a total of four home runs, including a long ball that traveled an estimated 470 feet – the longest in CitiField history. The only thing Stanton needs to worry about is pacing himself under the derby’s new rules, but I think he’ll be just fine.

(3) Adam Duvall falls to the hometown hero (6) Wil Myers

While Adam Duvall will look to add to his career year with a Home Run Derby Title, something needs to be said about the Derby and hometown advantage. Last season Todd Frazier rode the Cincinnati crowd all the way to the final round, and I believer Myers can do the same – at least in round one.. Also, 13 of Myers 19 home runs this season have impressively been hit at the pitcher-freiedly confines of Petco Park.

(2) Todd Frazier cruises to second round over (7) Carlo Gonzalez

Defending Derby Champ Todd Frazier undoubtedly has the recipe for success when it comes to the new Home Run Derby format, and if his brother is back throwing to him again, look for Frazier to cruise into the semi-finals over CarGo.

Next: 2016 MLB Home Run Derby Prediction: Round 2

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