MLB Payroll Analyis and Offseason Preview: St. Louis Cardinals

May 28, 2016; Washington, DC, USA; St. Louis Cardinals catcher Yadier Molina (4) singles against the Washington Nationals in the eighth inning at Nationals Park. The Cardinals won 9-4. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
May 28, 2016; Washington, DC, USA; St. Louis Cardinals catcher Yadier Molina (4) singles against the Washington Nationals in the eighth inning at Nationals Park. The Cardinals won 9-4. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
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May 21, 2016; St. Louis, MO, USA; St. Louis Cardinals relief pitcher Trevor Rosenthal (44) stands on the mound during the ninth inning against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals won 6-2. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports
Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

Team Control: Arbitration

Player 2016 Salary ($) (YR)2017 Estimation (WAR), Stats
RP Trevor Rosenthal 5.6 M (2) 5.8 M (0.1), 40 G, 5.13 ERA
1B Matt Adams 1.65 M (2) 4.5 M (0.2), .244/.297/.452, 14 HR
RP Seth Maness 1.4 M (2) Non-Tender (0.1), 29 G, 3.41 ERA
SP Carlos Martinez 507 K (1) 5.0 M (2.9), 28 G, 3.15 ERA
SP Michael Wacha 507 K (1) 5.5 M (2.1), 24 G, 4.62 ERA
RP Kevin Siegrist 507 K (1) 2.5 M (0.1), 61 G, 2.91 ERA
RP Tyler Lyons 507 K (1) 1.2 M (0), 30 G, 3.38 ERA
Totals 10.93 M 24.5 M

The arbitration cases this year are hard to figure out. Rosenthal made a very impressive $5.6 million in his first trip through the process. He has taken a large step back this year and most likely won’t see a big raise. A couple hundred thousand should be expected, as anything over six million would be surprising. These last few weeks could be a big determining factor as to how much he gets. If he is able to have a big impact on the playoff chase, he could get a nice little raise because of it. After all, he continues to put up stellar strikeout numbers.

Matt Adams will get a nice raise, as he only made $1.65 million in his first trip after an injury-shortened 2015. He should climb up to at least four million after slugging 14 home runs thus far. Seth Maness recently underwent Tommy John surgery and should be out for the entire 2017 season. He will most likely be non tendered, as paying him upwards of a million dollars is most likely not worth it just to keep him controllable for 2018.

Star pitchers Martinez and Wacha will surely get a nice payday in their first trip in arbitration, and relievers Siegrist and Lyons should get their first million dollar salaries as well.

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