Boston Red Sox REVISED Top 10 Prospects for 2017
The Boston Red Sox made a major trade for Chris Sale.
An Introduction
Our minor league top 10 series is coordinated by Benjamin Chase, one of our contributors at Call to the Pen.
He has pored over thousands of minor league games over the course of the year via milb.tv along with speaking with a number of team and independent scouts. These lists are based out of those conversations.
Each system will have prospects from 10 to 1, and then finish with one newcomer to the system that is worth keeping an eye on that is not in the top 10 at this time.
Conversations are certainly encouraged in the comments section on each system as we go along!
This year, the Red Sox were able to see both ends of Dombrowski
Red Sox System Review
Many Red Sox fans were worried last offseason when Dave Dombrowski came in that their system would be torn apart. Dombrowski has the reputation around the game of using his minor league system mainly to acquire major league talent, but that is over played, and he showed it in 2016. When there’s a guy that he wants to keep on the system, he will, and he has at previous stops.
This year, the Red Sox were able to see both ends of Dombrowski. Two guys that were important to the future of the team were given time with the big league club, even in the midst of a playoff run, though both still remain eligible for this list.
There were guys who were traded away as well, however to make the 2016 run. Craig Kimbrel, Aaron Hill, Brad Ziegler, Drew Pomeranz, Fernando Abad were acquired for Anderson Espinoza, Manuel Margot, Carlos Asuaje, Javier Guerra, Logan Allen, Aaron Hill, Wendell Rijo, Aaron Wilkerson, Jose Almonte, Luis Alejandro Basabe, and Pat Light.
Now the Red Sox got a big-time pitcher, and that cost them a number of prospects. The good news for Red Sox fans is that while they don’t have the 7-8 top 100 guys that they did coming into the last offseason, there are still 3-4 likely top 100 guys on this list even after that big trade.
Let’s take a look at that top 10!
Next: #10
5. Sam Travis, 1B
Birthdate: 8/27/93 (23 years old)
Level(s) Played in 2016: AAA
Stats in 2016: .272/.332/.434, 6 HR
Travis teamed up with Kyle Schwarber in college to lead Indiana to their first College World Series. While Travis didn’t get quite the notice of Schwarber, he’s certainly talented as a hitter in his own right.
Interesting as that connection with Schwarber is, Travis was having a solid offensive season before shredding his ACL in May and missing the rest of the year, much like Schwarber did at the major league level.
At his best, Travis is a guy who is led by an excellent hit tool. He squares up balls well at all velocities and does a solid job of using the whole field. Travis hits with solid velocity, and while that hasn’t translated the way he might like in the minor leagues due to the parks he’s been in, he has consistently shown excellent gap power that should translate very well to Fenway.
he has consistently shown excellent gap power that should translate very well to Fenway
In many organizations, Travis would be preparing himself to take over a major league job in 2017, especially when there is an open 1B/DH job at the major league level like there is in Boston. However, the Red Sox have a significant issue of Pablo Sandoval still hanging around, and whether he claims 3B, 1B, or DH or ends up getting cut will be an offseason topic for sure.
If he isn’t up on opening day, Travis won’t be far behind with his excellent swing from the right side and solid contact skills. He also offers soft hands and good receiving at first base that would allow Hanley Ramirez to move to DH full-time.
Next: #4
4. Bobby Dalbec, 3B
Birthdate: 6/29/95 (21 years old)
Level(s) Played in 2016: short-season A
Stats in 2016: .386/.427/.674, 7 HR
Dalbec drew a ton of attention when he led the Cape Cod league in home runs in 2015. To that point, many were considering him more of a prospect off the mound than as a hitter, but that performance put him in the consideration for the first round at this time last year.
Then he got into his college season and seemed to struggle to get going offensively all year long. He was dominant still as Arizona’s closer, leading them to the College World Series championship game. However, his bat was inconsistent at best throughout the year.
Dalbec has legit big power with solid contact skills
The Red Sox took a chance on Dalbec in the 4th round after he’d been passed up by every team multiple times. They were quickly rewarded.
Dalbec has legit big power with solid contact skills. His arm will allow him to play at third going forward, and he’s worked hard to get his body into the kind of shape that should allow him to stay at the position as well.
Next: #3
3. Jason Groome, LHP
Birthdate: 8/23/98 (18 years old)
Level(s) Played in 2016: rookie, short-season A
Stats in 2016: 6 2/3 IP, 2.70 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 13.79 BB%, 34.48 K%
Coming into the 2016 spring, Groome was regarded as the top left-handed high school arm, if not the top prospect in the entire draft. After a spring of some off-field concerns, his stock was a bit in the air coming into the draft in late May. Groome ended up slipping all the way to the Red Sox at #12.
Groome has a plus-plus fastball that has upper 90s top-end velocity, but sits in the 90-94 range with very good armside run. He has a curve that breaks like a big looper, but it comes in about 5-7 MPH faster than most looping curves you see in the league, making it hard to pick up for hitters.
his biggest attribute has been and will likely continue to be his ability to get the ball into the zone consistently
Groome’s change has flashed well, but his biggest attribute has een and will likely continue to be his ability to get the ball into the zone consistently.
He did struggle some with location in his one start in the New York-Penn League, but he did not get a ton of innings as the Red Sox just let him get his feet wet at this point. Some believe that he’ll be starting at high-A Salem in 2017, which would be incredibly impressive for a guy who will be 18 until late August of 2017.
Groome has a good build at 6’6″ and 225ish pounds, and he has a very good delivery that should prove to be repeatable. The biggest issue will be some of the off field stuff that never did get resolved for many teams before the draft. He will be intriguing to see how he is placed on industry top 100 lists as he has a wide range of opinions from those I’ve talked with.
Next: #2
2. Rafael Devers, 3B
Birthdate: 10/24/96 (20 years old)
Level(s) Played in 2016: high-A
Stats in 2016: .282/.335/.443, 11 HR, 18 SB
When reviewing Devers from 2016, those who are just looking at him from the end of season stats will miss the season Devers truly had.
While his defense had been somewhat in question due to instincts at the position, he came a long ways at third base to the point of hearing some outside scouts call his defense plus.
However, the more impressive thing was the bat. He was hitting around .200 as of May 1, yet he finished the year at .282, which or a guy who was a teenager in the Carolina League is extremely impressive.
Devers has the sort of power to be a legit 30-HR hitter, but he also currently maintains a high level of athleticism, and his eight triples in 2016 was a great example of this. He also had 18 stolen bases.
Devers has above-average contact skills to go along with his power, and frankly, his presence in the system along with Moncada’s move to third base gives the Red Sox two legit third base prospects who will likely be in the top 25ish of all prospects.
Devers is a guy who could be moved in a blockbuster this offseason if the Red Sox go hard after a big time starter, but regardless, he’ll be at AA at just 20 years old, making him someone to definitely keep an eye on!
Next: #1
1. Andrew Benintendi, OF
Birthdate: 7/6/94 (22 years old)
Level(s) Played in 2016: high-A, AA, MLB
Stats in 2016: .312/.378/.532, 9 HR, 16 SB
One of the striking things when you first see Benintendi just how small he is. He’s listed at 5’10” and 170 pounds, and both numbers may be generous. However, you’ll also notice upon closer examination that he has significant muscle build, including in his forearms and upper legs. For a guy with the reputation for smacking the ball the way Benintendi does, that’s a surprising sight!
Benintendi is probably not a guy with 30+ home run power or 30+ stolen base type of speed, however, he is a heady ball player that could steal 30 with the right type of offense around him or knock out 30 in the right park (and Boston certainly qualifies there.
What Benintendi will do that is incredibly impressive year in and year out will be hit. He’s got tremendous feel for the bat head in the zone and does an exceptional job at getting the bat in perfect position on the ball while also having his body in perfect explosive position to drive the ball.
Benintendi offers defense at a level to be an above-average center fielder, but playing left field as he will in Boston should allow Benintendi to be an elite defender.
While maybe not checking the elite HR or SB numbers off on a check list, Benintendi should be a guy who hits 30+ doubles, threatens double digits in triples, and puts up 20ish home runs each season while hitting .300 or better. That’s incredibly high value, even if it may not be the type of fantasy output that typically gets guys noticed.
Next: Newcomer to Watch