Philadelphia Phillies: Trading Forecast

Will the Acquisition of Benoit Lead to More Deals? Photo by Peter G. Aiken - USA TODAY Sports.
Will the Acquisition of Benoit Lead to More Deals? Photo by Peter G. Aiken - USA TODAY Sports.
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Ramos May Be the Reliever Klentak Trades for a Left-Handed Bat with Power. Photo by Richard Mackson – USA TODAY Sports.
Ramos May Be the Reliever Klentak Trades for a Left-Handed Bat with Power. Photo by Richard Mackson – USA TODAY Sports. /

The front office is taking a circuitous route to achieve their goals because general manager Matt Klentak of the Philadelphia Phillies is using the Winter Meetings to lay the groundwork for future deals.

Bargaining Chips:

Before money was the preferred method, bartering one’s services or possessions with another allowed each to procure necessities.

Through Wednesday (December 7), many GMs went from one negotiation to another at the Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center in National Harbor, Maryland. Sleep was optional. But did the Philadelphia Phillies accomplish something during the four days? Well, Double D, a poster from another site, your question represents the thinking of many fans locally. But it will depend on their recent acquisitions and competitive proposals.

Shaping their roster, management re-signed Jeremy Hellickson to head the rotation, inked Pat Neshek and Joaquin Benoit to be the eighth-inning setup men, and picked up Howie Kendrick to plug the fifth hole in the lineup and a corner outfield spot. So, Double D, the decision-maker won’t add another starter, and he won’t block corner outfielders in the pipeline with a multi-year contract to a free agent. However, one viable avenue for a left-handed bat would be to swap a catcher and a reliever to a contender with those needs.

Before the annual marathon of general managers and agents, manager Pete Mackanin phoned Klentak, and the exec voiced his hopes for Cesar Hernandez, Cameron Rupp, shortstop J.P. Crawford and receiver Jorge Alfaro. Ergo, if Crawford and Alfaro can start for the Phils in July, the GM will have Rupp, Hernandez, Freddy Galvis and Kendrick available before the trading deadline. Of course, the manager stated his preference for a left-side hitter with power, and Klentak replied he’d get more creative to accomplish that before spring training. How?

Considering the teams needing a backstop, a second baseman and/or relievers, Klentak is putting himself in position to reel off a deal before February. For instance, Double D, the executive will have Benoit, Neshek and Joely Rodriquez as keepers, while Hector Neris, Jeanmar Gomez and Edubray Ramos would give Klentak a bullpen piece to swap. But one wrinkle is not re-signing A.J. Ellis, which complicates things but doesn’t stop them. Eventually, the tandem behind the plate will be Alfaro and Rupp with no spot for catcher Andrew Knapp.

Knapp Could Be the Backup Catcher in April. Photo by Reinhold Matay – USA TODAY Sports.
Knapp Could Be the Backup Catcher in April. Photo by Reinhold Matay – USA TODAY Sports. /

If the Philadelphia Phillies have players general manager Sandy Alderson of the New York Mets deems valuable, Klentak will continue haggling with him, but Alderson has the reputation of only making trades he can put in the win column. And because New York (NL) has three left-swinging outfielders with pop, Klentak probably logged a few hours with Alderson over the four days. What do you want for Jay Bruce? Neris and Rupp.

IN OTHER WORDS:   “I can’t elaborate, … We have been working on something. If something does happen, it should happen in the next few days.” – Sandy Alderson

While the Mets are giving their current receivers another opportunity to win the job, they covet a backend reliever and prefer swapping Bruce: two items currently on their front burner. On the other hand, Double D, the red pinstripes can’t deal Rupp until Alfaro is ready, and they can receive more for Neris than one campaign of Bruce. Presently, Klentak is okay with the six pen hurlers and a lefty or a long man, and he can go with Roman Quinn in right field or on the Triple-A Lehigh Valley IronPigs if he acquires Bruce.

After the GMs return to Philly and New York, the conversation will continue over the phone with the counterproposal of Gomez and Knapp, but – eventually – Klentak will sweeten the proffer. Basically, you can imagine the dialogue. What’s your new offer for Bruce? Ramos and Knapp. Hmmmm, that might work.

Bruce Could Be in the Phillies Dugout Next April. Photo by Bill Streicher – USA TODAY Sports.
Bruce Could Be in the Phillies Dugout Next April. Photo by Bill Streicher – USA TODAY Sports. /

The Numerical Bible:

This review is not a sabermetrics article, which means no heavy statistical analysis. But because some readers rely on stats, this is only a reference: no reason to articulate the importance of these numbers.

These numbers do not include any postseason activity.

Pitching:

  • Benoit, 39.5: 51 Gms., 48 Inn., a 2.81 ERA, 1 Save, 18 Holds, a 3.90 FIP, a 4.24 xFIP, a 3.91 SIERA, a 0.5 WAR and a 1.27 WHIP.
  • Neris, 27.5: 79 Gms., 80 1/3 Inn., a 2.58 ERA, 2 Saves, 28 Holds, a 3.30 FIP, a 3.17 xFIP, a 2.95 SIERA, a 1.2 WAR and a 1.11 WHIP.
  • Neshek, 36: 60 Gms., 47 Inn., a 3.06 ERA, 18 Holds, a 3.68 FIP, a 4.07 xFIP, a 3.57 SIERA, a 0.5 WAR and a 0.94 WHIP.
  • Ramos, almost 24: 42 Gms., 40 Inn., a 3.83 ERA, 15 Holds, a 3.60 FIP, a 3.68 xFIP, a 3.37 SIERA, a 0.5 WAR and a 1.18 WHIP.
  • Gomez, 28.5: 70 Gms., 68 2/3 Inn., a 4.85 ERA, 37 Saves, 6 BS,1 Hold, a 3.96 FIP, a 4.26 xFIP, a 4.12 SIERA, a 0.4 WAR and a 1.46 WHIP.
  • Rodriquez, 25: 12 Gms., 9 2/3 Inn., a 2.79 ERA, 3 Holds, a 3.25 FIP, a 4.80 xFIP, a 4.36 SIERA, a 0.2 WAR and a 1.24 WHIP.

Hitting:

  • Bruce, 29.5: 147 Gms., 589 PA, a .250 Avg., a .309 OBP, a .506 SLG, a .256 ISO, a .266 BABIP, 33 HR, 99 RBI, an .815 OPS and a 0.8 WAR.
  • Rupp, 28: 105 Gms., 419 PA, a .252 Avg., a .303 OBP, a .447 SLG, a .195 ISO, a .315 BABIP, 16 HR, 54 RBI, a .750 OPS and a 1.6 WAR.

Triple-A Hitting:

  • Knapp, 25: 107 Gms., 443 PA, a .266 Avg., a .330 OBP, a .390 SLG, a .124 ISO, a .343 BABIP, 8 HR, 46 RBI, a .719 OPS and a 3.6 WAR.

Next: Storyline: Tomorrow Behind the Phillies' Plate

Double-A Hitting:

  • Alfaro, 23.5: 97 Gms., 435 PA, a .285 Avg., a .325 OBP, a .458 SLG, a .173 ISO, a .347 BABIP, 15 HR, 67 RBI, a .783 OPS and 4.0 WAR.
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