Tampa Bay Rays 2017 Team Preview: Additions, Subtractions, Projections

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The Tampa Bay Rays struggled to perform in 2016 in their second year under manager Kevin Cash. Can they improve enough in 2017 to compete?

The post-Joe Maddon Tampa Bay Rays have been far from impressive, and their 2016 season was no different. Their 68-94 record under manager Kevin Cash is a far cry from the playoff appearances that became a regular thing under Maddon. This season, the Rays look to bounce back from their last place finish in the AL East.

They have a few offensive weapons.

Last season, two Rays hit 30-plus home runs, Evan Longoria and Brad Miller. Both will look to continue to mash in 2017. Look for another stellar year out of Longoria, arguably the best player in franchise history. Miller will try to match his breakout power numbers from 2016. Before hitting 30 home runs last season, he only had 29 in his career. This season, he will need to prove he can do it again.

Corey Dickerson also showed some power last season, hitting 24 home runs and driving in 70 runs. After him, the power dips. Steven Souza hit the next most home runs, 17, but only batted .247. The problem the Rays had last season was their team’s inability to hit for average. They ranked 28th in the league with a .243 team batting average. If they want to generate any sort of reliable offense this coming season, they need to find a way to get hits. When your team leader in average bats .273 you are going to struggle to win games.

Longoria is not the only player the Rays are investing in.

Kevin Kiermaier, the two-time Gold Glove-winning outfielder, just signed a six-year extension worth $53.5 million. Kiermaier set career highs in home runs and stolen bases, while putting up another stellar year in the field. The extension he signed is club-friendly, so the Rays will have him locked up for his prime years. He is the guy they are looking to build with, so hopefully he can keep improving his production at the plate while staying elite in the field.

Their pitching staff will look to rebound, although there are bright spots.

The Rays’ ace Chris Archer had a down year last season, posting a 4.02 earned run average while going 9-19 in 201.1 innings. The Rays’ offense had a hard time generating runs, which made Archer’s record worse than it should have been, but his earned run average itself wasn’t pretty.

Jake Odorizzi pitched well for the Rays, putting up a 10-6 record with a 3.69 ERA in nearly 200 innings. Blake Snell contributed the best starter’s ERA, a 3.54 mark. Matt Andriese rounded out the rotation with a record of 8-8 and a 4.37 earned run average. Snell and Andriese did not pitch full seasons, so it will be intriguing to see what they can do over a full campaign.

The Rays’ bullpen was nothing special last season, but Alex Colome was a reliable closer. Colome converted 37 saves and struck out 71 batters in 56.2 innings. It was a breakout year for a player who had no career saves before the start of 2016. He made the All-Star team and it can be argued he was the brightest spot the Rays had on their roster during their less than impressive 2016 season.

Heading into 2017, the Rays will look to improve in many areas. If they can increase run production and give their pitchers some support, they could be around the middle of the pack in the AL East.

Key Acquisitions

The Rays had some big time departures this offseason, but unfortunately didn’t do much to fill the voids. The biggest miss for Tampa Bay was catcher Matt Wieters, who ended up signing with the Washington Nationals. They did, however, take a chance on former Nats catcher Wilson Ramos coming off ACL surgery.

While they missed out on some players, they still reeled in a few that will help now and maybe later.

Colby Rasmus

The Rays added former Astros outfielder Colby Rasmus in free agency this offseason. Last season, Rasmus hit .206, hitting 15 home runs with 54 runs batted in. While his 2016 season was less than ideal, his 2015 season was pretty productive. He had a .238 average with 25 home runs and 61 runs batted in, one of the best seasons of his career.

The Rays had a problem with hitting for average last season, and Rasmus is not about to help that cause with his .241 career average. He may be able to provide an offensive spark from a power standpoint, and some veteran leadership to go alongside Evan Longoria.

Jose De Leon

The Rays acquired Jose De Leon from the Los Angeles Dodgers in exchange for Logan Forsythe. De Leon made his MLB debut in 2016, making four starts and posting a 2-0 record with a 6.35 ERA. He is only 24 years old and looks to be more of a fit for the future. With the current starting rotation, however, he may be able to see some playing time this season. Regardless of when he becomes a mainstay in the Rays rotation, it looks like De Leon has a bright future moving forward.

Significant Players Lost

The Rays will have a tough time replacing one of their best bats, but other voids left by free agency should be fillable.

Logan Forsythe

The biggest departure from the Tampa Bay Rays was one they made happen themselves. When the Rays traded Logan Forsythe this offseason, they unloaded one of their best offensive weapons. His .264 average may have been middle of the pack, but his 20 home runs and 52 runs batted in were top notch power numbers for a second baseman.

His bat will be missed, especially with Matt Duffy slated as the starting shortstop after Brad Miller’s move to second. The Rays had two power bats up the middle last year, and now will hopefully have have one if Miller continues to produce. The plus side is the Rays ended up with a young pitcher. Unfortunately, some of Forsythe’s former Rays teammates aren’t thrilled about the fact he was traded.

Drew Smyly

Drew Smyly‘s pitching performance in the Rays’ rotation was unimpressive in 2016. In 30 starts, he went 7-12 with a 4.88 ERA in 175.1 innings pitched. He did strike out 167 batters, which was good for second on the team.

With Smyly’s departure to the Seattle Mariners in a trade, he leaves a void that will be filled with a hopefully rejuvenated Alex Cobb. If Cobb can return to form after making just five appearances in 2016, the Rays will be just fine without Smyly.

Projections

After a 2016 season that showed little promise and few bright spots, the Rays look to improve in 2017. That could be a struggle, as the Rays traded one of their best bats, Forsythe, and the offensive production he produced will be replaced by Colby Rasmus, who batted .206 last season. Their pitching staff didn’t perform the way it was supposed to last season, so there is room for improvement there, which is reason for optimism.

Rotation:

Chris Archer
Jake Odorizzi
Alex Cobb
Blake Snell
Matt Andriese

Bullpen:

Middle Relief: Danny Farquhar / Ryan Garton / Shawn Tolleson

Long Relief: Erasmo Ramirez / Chase Whitley

Setup: Brad Boxberger / Xavier Cedeno

Closer: Alex Colome

2017 Starting Lineup:

CF Kevin Kiermaier
2B Brad Miller
3B Evan Longoria
DH Corey Dickerson
LF Colby Rasmus
RF Steven Souza
1B Logan Morrison

SS Matt Duffy
C Curt Casali

Predictions

It is hard to get on base and score runs with a collective .243 team batting average. Not scoring runs makes it harder to win games. Not making moves to improve the team that was struggling to win games will make it hard for them to improve on an already atrocious season. Unfortunately for the Rays, it doesn’t look like they will be competing in 2017 and it may be a few years before they are on track to be successful again. Look for it to be another tough season at Tropicana Field.

Next: Rangers 2017 Team Preview

2017 Record: 64-98

Division Rank: Fifth

Playoffs: No

The Rays are nowhere near the level they were with Joe Maddon at the helm. It doesn’t help that they refuse to spend money and their farm system hasn’t produced a guy like David Price or Evan Longoria recently. The Rays used to be the blueprint others followed to develop players and save money. Now, they are making questionable moves when it comes to trades and losing out on affordable free agents. Hopefully the Rays start moving in the right direction in 2017, but with the lack of improvements to their roster, it may be difficult.

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