Atlanta Braves Offseason Stats Update
Let’s see how a handful of Atlanta Braves prospects are doing abroad
As any aspiring athlete will tell you, “There is no offseason.” For a handful of Atlanta Braves prospects, that adage is proving true.
The Braves have sent a total of 32 players to participate in off-season leagues this year. Several of these players will factor into the Braves’ 2018 plans.
Six of these players are Top 30 prospects, according to MLB Pipeline.
As 2017 comes to a close, let’s take a look at how one of MLB’s elite farm systems is performing. All stats are current as of 12/31/2017.
Arizona Fall League
In the Arizona Fall League, the top prospects proved why the Braves farm system is so ballyhooed. Top-ranked prospect Ronald Acuña (#6 in MLB) slashed .325/.414/.639 with 7 HR on his way to AFL MVP. This included a two-HR performance in the televised Military Appreciation Game. He will make his debut in Atlanta’s outfield sometime in 2018.
With his .300/.364/.657 slash line, Austin Riley (#9 Braves prospect) not only raised the eyebrows of multiple scouts, but also raised his prospect status considerably. Some concerns on his bat speed have been allayed, and he could be a Top 100 prospect in 2018. He will start the year in Mississippi, but should some time at the hot corner in Atlanta within the next 18 months.
#15 prospect Alex Jackson started out hot but his bat cooled considerably as the season went on. The polarizing catcher-turned-outfielder-turned-catcher still managed to smack five home runs and post an .826 OPS. Jackson’s re-emergence as a prospect has opened a lot of eyes, as he has shed the “bust” label. Like Riley, he should start the season in Mississippi, but any success will get him a quick promotion to AAA.
Southpaw Max Fried (#8 Braves prospect) posted a 0.88 WHIP, 11.08 K/9, and a sparkling 1.73 ERA. He proved dominant for most of the AFL season. Of the five earned runs he gave up during the AFL, four of them came during one start. He will contend for the Braves’ fifth starter role next season.
The results for the rest of Atlanta’s AFL contingent were mixed. Touki Toussaint (Braves #13 prospect) was plagued by walks and home runs en route to a 10.38 ERA. Josh Graham and Corbin Clouse both had ERAs hovering around 7, although both displayed some promise. Meanwhile, Jared James’ contributions in the outfield were valuable, but his .726 OPS didn’t shake the world.
Australian Baseball League
It was just last year that Acuña earned the nickname The Answer To Everything while dominating the Australian Baseball League. Will another Braves prospect earn such accolades in Oz this year?
Switch hitting Brett Cumberland rounds out the list of ranked Atlanta Braves prospects playing off-season ball. The 24th-ranked prospect has been doing work for Melbourne in the Australian Baseball League. Cumberland has logged time at catcher and in the outfield, which could indicate a new position for 2018.
Although positional uncertainty has always been a concern for Cumbelrand, the bat remains his carrying tool. This trend seems to be continuing in the ABL, as he is currently at .294/.380/.541 with 5 HR. His strikeout rate is somewhat alarming, currently sitting at 28%.
His ability to be hit by pitches remains intact, as he has been plunked five times in 100 plate appearances. This comes after being hit 41 times (forty-one!) during the 2017 MiLB season.
Cumberland earned a mid-season call-up to Florida last year, and could continue to ascend if he keeps hitting.
Tyler Neslony, another bat-first Braves prospect, has also been flashing the lumber Down Under. Lovingly christened The Pony, Neslony’s .978 OPS is third amongst Braves prospects this off-season, behind only Acuña and Riley. Though unranked, a case can be made for Neslony’s prospect status, as his .345/.433/.545 is not too shabby.
In addition to drawing more walks (9) than strikeouts (8), Neslony has at least one hit in 11 of his last 12 games, and 12 of his 15. Neslony’s bat will lead him back to Mississippi to start 2018, but he could be a fourth outfielder in Atlanta by the end of next year. He will need to improve his defense if he wants to be any kind of regular.
Elsewhere in the ABL, native Australian (and Rome Braves lefty) Jon Kennedy is 1-0, 4.26 ERA for Melbourne. Former Braves farmhand Steve Kent, another Aussie by birth, is looking at a 1-4 record and 5.86 ERA for Canberra.
Dominican Winter League
One of the biggest questions of this offseason has been the role of Johan Camargo. Will he be the Atlanta Braves starting third baseman in 2018? Is he a utility player / bench piece? Could he be trade bait? Regardless of what role eventually plays, he has certainly made the decision interesting for Braves brass.
Playing for Aguilas Cibaenas in the Dominican Winter League, Camargo has continued his impressive work. His .324/.425/.500 indicates some of his success in 2017 was not just a BABIP-driven mirage.
One of the most notable parts of Camargo’s winter season has been his ability to take a walk. His 4.7% walk rate in 2017 and his .364 BABIP, are both indicators of regression-bound peripherals. As his current walk rate in the Dominican League is 13.6%, even a predictable downturn in his BABIP could help level out his game.
Though penciled in as Atlanta’s starting third baseman (if no outside additions are made), Camargo has primarily seen time at second base in the DWL. However, as the team has 10 infielders on its roster, a bit of shuffling was foreseeable.
Another of the infielders on the Aguilas Cibaenas is Luis Valenzuela, who finished 2017 as a Gwinnett Brave. Though the Dominican League is not rife with Major-League caliber pitching, Valenzuela is currently slashing .347/.407/.408. If this looks like a lot of singles, it should – 14 of his 17 hits have gone for one base.
Valenzuela’s best-case scenario is as a utility piece long-term. He won’t wow anyone with his glove, but he can play all over the infield. If he can sustain any level of success with the bat, a positionally versatile singles hitter has a valuable place on a Major League bench.
Due to an ill-advised marketing shift, he will start 2018 as a Gwinnett Striper.
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New Brave Anyelo Gomez (Rule 5 selection from the Yankees) is also putting in time in the Dominican Winter League. As a reliever for the Gigantes del Cibao, he has posted a 1-1 record with a 2.95 ERA. Through 18.1 innings, he has struck out 21 and walked 8.
His 0.98 WHIP is second among Braves pitchers with at least 5 innings thrown (only behind Fried’s 0.88). His .161 Opponents’ Average leads all Atlanta Braves pitchers.
To retain his Rule 5 eligibility for Atlanta, Gomez will have to stay on the 25-man roster for the entire season. With numbers like those, that could be a blessing.
For anyone interested in tracking offseason stats for Braves players, you can follow along here.
Next: Braves should target Phillips
So concludes the debriefing on the Braves’ Winter League stats. So also concludes 2017. Happy New Year!