Based on the public voting, Jamie Moyer could join a long list of players who received just a single vote for the Baseball Hall of Fame.
While the baseball world eagerly anticipates a player transaction, any player transaction, really anything at all will do, the publicly released votes for the Baseball Hall of Fame keep trickling in. Ryan Thibodaux (@NotMrTibbs on Twitter) is tracking the votes that have been made public so far.
With a little more than 40 percent of the vote known, it looks like three players are locks to make the Hall of Fame this year. Chipper Jones (98 percent), Vladimir Guerrero (94 percent), and Jim Thome (93 percent) will likely be joining Jack Morris and Alan Trammell in Cooperstown this summer. Morris and Trammell were voted in by the Veterans Committee.
Three other players are close. Edgar Martinez is at 80 percent, and Trevor Hoffman is just behind him at 78 percent. Neither can afford to lose many votes if they are to stay above the 75 percent threshold needed for induction. Mike Mussina, at 73 percent, would need to surge a bit on the remaining ballots to get there.
Another Twitter user, Nathaniel Rakich (@baseballot), is using the currently known votes and previous year’s results to predict the final vote percentage. He has Jones, Thome, Guerrero, and Hoffman making it, with Edgar Martinez falling a half percentage point short and Mussina’s rate dropping into the mid-60s.