The Numerical Bible:
This review is not a sabermetrics article, which means no heavy statistical analysis. But because some readers rely on stats, this is only a reference: no reason to articulate the importance of these numbers.
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Comparison of ERA estimators:
- Darvish: a 3.83 FIP, a 3.65 xFIP and a 3.71 SIERA.
- Arrieta: a 4.16 FIP, a 4.11 xFIP and a 4.15 SIERA.
- Cobb: a 4.16 FIP, a 4.24 xFIP and a 4.48 SIERA.
- Lynn: a 4.82 FIP, a 4.75 xFIP and a 4.85 SIERA.
- Cashner: a 4.61 FIP, a 5.30 xFIP and a 5.52 SIERA.
- Garcia: a 4.25 FIP, a 4.18 xFIP and a 4.54 SIERA.
Top Phillies possibilities:
- Darvish, 31.5: 31 Gms., 186 2/3 Inn., 10-12, a 3.86 ERA, a 3.83 FIP, a 3.65 xFIP, a 3.71 SIERA, a 3.5 fWAR and a 1.16 WHIP.
- Arrieta, almost 32: 30 Gms., 168 1/3 Inn., 14-10, a 3.53 ERA, a 4.16 FIP, a 4.11 xFIP, a 4.15 SIERA, 2.4 fWAR and a 1.22 WHIP.
Middle Phillies possibilities:
- Cobb, 30: 29 Gms., 179 1/3 Inn., 12-10, a 3.66 ERA, a 4.16 FIP, a 4.24 xFIP, a 4.48 SIERA, a 2.4 fWAR and a 1.22 WHIP.
- Lynn, 30.5: 33 Gms., 186 1/3 Inn., 11-8, a 3.43 ERA, a 4.82 FIP, a 4.75 xFIP, a 4.85 SIERA, 1.4 fWAR and a 1.23 WHIP.
Next: Phillies' year of the challenge
Bottom Phillies possibilities:
- Cashner, 31.5: 28 Gms., 166 2/3 Inn., 11-11, a 3.40 ERA, a 4.61 FIP, a 5.30 xFIP, a 5.52 SIERA, a 1.9 fWAR and a 1.32 WHIP.
- Garcia, 31.5: 27 Gms., 157 Inn., 5-10, a 4.41 ERA, a 4.25 FIP, a 4.18 xFIP, a 4.54 SIERA, 2.1 fWAR and a 1.41 WHIP.