MLB playoffs: Previewing the Dodgers/Braves NLDS

LOS ANGELES, CA - APRIL 21: General view of Dodger Stadium during the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Washington Nationals on April 21, 2018 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Jayne Kamin-Oncea/Getty Images)
LOS ANGELES, CA - APRIL 21: General view of Dodger Stadium during the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Washington Nationals on April 21, 2018 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Jayne Kamin-Oncea/Getty Images)
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MILWAUKEE, WI – JULY 05: Mike Foltynewicz #26 of the Atlanta Braves pitches in the first inning against the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park on July 6, 2018 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images)
MILWAUKEE, WI – JULY 05: Mike Foltynewicz #26 of the Atlanta Braves pitches in the first inning against the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park on July 6, 2018 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images) /

After at least 162 hard fought games, the Dodgers and Braves face off in a best-of-five NLDS to open the MLB playoffs, beginning on Thursday.

If you asked me at the beginning of the season which NL East team the Dodgers would be playing in the NLDS, I would say the Washington Nationals. That’s not to knock the Braves’ talent, but if I had to choose between a team with Bryce Harper or one without him, I would choose Harper any day of the week to make the MLB playoffs.

That said, the Atlanta Braves went on a tear that they were due to go on for a while. Mike Foltynewicz is the ace they need, and a pair of young stars in Ozzie Albies and Ronald Acuña Jr has changed the direction of baseball in Atlanta.

For much of the season, it looked like the Phillies and Braves were going to be like the Dodgers and Rockies, neck and neck until the end, but the Phillies’ success was unsustainable and the Braves ended the season as the winners of the NL East for the first time in five years.

There’s is no doubt that the Braves deserve to be here.

The Dodgers have been here before, five times before, in fact. They won the first of their six consecutive division titles the same year Atlanta won their last title. They’ve seen two managers, changes in the front office, and an entire rebuild of a once average farm system. They’ve cultivated stars like Corey Seager, Cody Bellinger, and Walker Buehler. They’ve let go of potential all-stars to add players like Manny Machado and Rich Hill to their roster. They’ve cultivated a new age of baseball in Los Angeles.

There is no doubt that the Dodgers deserve to be here.

Now, the two elite squads meet up in October for the first time in half a decade. Let’s take a look at what’s ahead.

LOS ANGELES, CA – SEPTEMBER 05: Hyun-Jin Ryu #99 of the Los Angeles Dodgers reacts after a single to Brandon Nimmo #9 of the New York Mets to load the bases during the sixth inning at Dodger Stadium on September 5, 2018 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images)
LOS ANGELES, CA – SEPTEMBER 05: Hyun-Jin Ryu #99 of the Los Angeles Dodgers reacts after a single to Brandon Nimmo #9 of the New York Mets to load the bases during the sixth inning at Dodger Stadium on September 5, 2018 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images) /

GAME 1 STARTING PITCHING MATCHUP: HYUN-JIN RYU VS.  MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ

Let’s start with the obvious; Clayton Kershaw is not the Dodgers’ game one starter. Game 1 has had Kershaw’s name on it for the past five years, why not carry on the tradition? It was known from the start that Kersh and Ryu would be starting the first two games of the division series at home. In the end, Roberts tabbed Ryu for the series’ first game, bumping his ace to number two. That doesn’t say anything about Kershaw’s ability on the mound (is his talent ever really in question?) it just means that Roberts has enough faith in Ryu to give him the ball in this scenario.

There’s really not much of a difference at all. By sending Ryu to the mound on Thursday, he and Kershaw will both be pitching on 6 days rest. That, and the fact that Ryu has pitched incredibly well at Dodgers Stadium this season (to the tune of a 1.15 ERA) so bumping him to the third spot in the rotation, and sending Walker Buehler to the mound in Game 2 would be nonsensical.

Ryu and then Kershaw gives the Dodgers the best chance of arriving in Atlanta with a 2-0 series lead with Walker Buehler or Rich Hill headed to the mound.

Can anything stand in the way of the Dodgers?

Well, yes. In Game One, that roadblock will be Mike Foltynewicz, who has been tremendous this season for the Braves. In 183 innings, he’s struck out 202 batters and enters the postseason with a 2.85 ERA. The 26-year-old righty pitched two complete games this season, a rarity in baseball these days, with one of them being a shutout. Foltynewicz is capable of going the distance for Atlanta and has a fastball that could stun Dodger hitters.

The Braves haven’t announced their game two starter, but it’s likely to be right-hander Aníbal Sánchez, who has a 1-1 record against the Dodgers in 2018.

This series won’t be won, on either side, solely by elite pitching. Let’s take a look at who will be stepping up to the plate.

PHILADELPHIA, PA – SEPTEMBER 28: Atlanta Braves first baseman Freddie Freeman (5) looks on during the MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies on September 28, 2018 at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia PA. (Photo by Gavin Baker/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
PHILADELPHIA, PA – SEPTEMBER 28: Atlanta Braves first baseman Freddie Freeman (5) looks on during the MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies on September 28, 2018 at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia PA. (Photo by Gavin Baker/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) /

Pitchers, beware of the sluggers in Southern California and Northern Georgia.

Both of these squads have been absolutely raking all season long. The Dodgers led the National League in home runs (235) while the Braves had the second most hits in the NL (1433). The Braves led the league in slugging percentage, while the Dodgers came in fifth.

Freddie Freeman hit 23 home runs but boasts a .309 batting average. He was hit by almost as many pitches (7) as double plays he grounded into (11), and he was intentionally walked more than either (12). Being intentionally walked usually means one of two things; 1) you’re hitting in the 8th hole, there are two outs, there’s only one man on base, and the pitcher batting behind you has a .045 average or 2) they just don’t want to face you because chances are, you’ll do some damage.

The latter describes Freeman. It also describes most of the Braves lineup. You can’t intentionally walk everyone.

Then there’s the Dodgers, a team that hit more home runs than any squad this season except the New York Yankees. They’re a team lead by Max Muncy, Matt Kemp, Cody Bellinger, Justin Turner, and Manny Machado. Three of those players are guys that few expected to see in Dodger blue this season.

Muncy, who was released by Oakland in early 2017, signed with the Dodgers about a month after. He played on the team’s triple-A squad for the remainder of the season and was predicted to be there again this year. He was called up mid-April because of an injury to former Dodger, Logan Forsythe. Since then, he’s taken the National League by storm, slugging his way to the 2018 Home Run Derby and, eventually, 35 home runs in 395 at-bats.

Freeman and Muncy are the guys to watch in this series. They’ve been terrific both offensively and defensively all season long. This series is going to be a battle of two seriously strong offenses, and it’ll be up to the pitching to decide who emerges the victor.

PHOENIX, AZ – SEPTEMBER 24: Matt Kemp #27 of the Los Angeles Dodgers gets ready in the batters box against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on September 24, 2018 in Phoenix, Arizona. (Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images)
PHOENIX, AZ – SEPTEMBER 24: Matt Kemp #27 of the Los Angeles Dodgers gets ready in the batters box against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on September 24, 2018 in Phoenix, Arizona. (Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images) /

Matt Kemp never thought he would wear a Dodgers’ jersey again…

On December 16th of 2017, Matt Kemp was traded back to the team that drafted him, brought him up, and made him an All-Star. He returned to the organization that three years before sent him to San Diego. San Diego then sent him to Atlanta. He spent a year and a half with each club.

Once December arrived, the Dodgers saw a need for a salary dump, in order to get under the luxury tax threshold for 2018. They sent the talent and contracts of Scott Kazmir, Adrian Gonzalez, and Brandon McCarthy to Atlanta. The Dodgers also included utility man (and Dodgers’ walk-off legend) Charlie Culberson in order to get Matt Kemp.

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Kemp was not expected to stay with the club. Many thought that the Dodgers would send him to another team, but the former Dodger outfielder wanted to become a current Dodger outfielder again. He wanted to help this team win.

Flashforward 163 games and a handful of off-days later, and Matt Kemp is an everyday player, and reliable hitter, in the Dodgers lineup in October. He’s the 2012 version of himself.

Now, Kemp faces his former team and will play alongside the player they got in return.

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So, as the NLDS begins, look closely at every play, every home run. You never know which one will define the series in the MLB playoffs.

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