In week-12 of “MLB Rankings: Greatest Hits,” we rank the top 10 base hits in MLB from 6/15-6/22 based on their impact on Weighted Win Probability Added.
In this week’s “MLB Rankings: Baseball’s Greatest Hits,” It’s a five-team race in the fratricidal NL Central, where teams spent the past week closing ranks. In a week where opportunistic heroics were called for, would-be stars of three NL Central teams delivered.
The St. Louis Cardinals have been waiting on such heroics from their prime off-season acquisition, Paul Goldschmidt, all season. They finally got some when Goldschmidt struck a walk-off home run to beat the Miami Marlins in St. Louis.
The Milwaukee Brewers relied on Yasmani Grandal‘s power, but even that turned out not to be enough to produce a win. In Cincinnati, meanwhile, rookie Nick Senzel continued to breathe life into the Reds’ outside chances to stay in that tight divisional race.
In this week’s “MLB Rankings: Greatest Hit,” though, came from a distant locale, specifically Oakland, where the Athletics are pursuing an underdog dream of their own. In a cutthroat series with the wild card leading Tampa Bay Rays, Oakland’s Matt Chapman chose the pivotal moment to touch all four bases.
This rating of the week’s greatest hits is based on the Win Probability Added by each hit. Win Probability Added is one of those Statcast-era statistics; it measures the percentage change in likely game outcome based on the result of the at bat. For example, the Win Probability Added for a walk-off home run would be the difference between the team’s Win Probability prior to the home run and 100 percent.
In the event of ties, they are broken by Weighted Winning Team Expectancy, which is the likelihood of a victory following the at bat’s outcome.
This week features the unusual circumstance of a flat tie in the top 10. That occurred because two players delivered walk-off hits with identical Win Probabilities Added.
Here are this week’s “MLB Rankings: Baseball’s Greatest Hits,”.