2019 MLB Season: The AL East’s best GM in 2019? Not him

NEW YORK, NY - OCTOBER 09: (NEW YORK DAILIES OUT) General Manager Brian Cashman and Manager Aaron Boone #17 of the New York Yankees during batting practice before Game Four of the American League Division Series against the Boston Red Sox at Yankee Stadium on October 9, 2018 in the Bronx borough of New York City. The Red Sox defeated the Yankees 4-3. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NY - OCTOBER 09: (NEW YORK DAILIES OUT) General Manager Brian Cashman and Manager Aaron Boone #17 of the New York Yankees during batting practice before Game Four of the American League Division Series against the Boston Red Sox at Yankee Stadium on October 9, 2018 in the Bronx borough of New York City. The Red Sox defeated the Yankees 4-3. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images) /
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(Photo by Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) /

2019 MLB Season: The AL East’s best GM

Dave Dombrowski, Boston Red Sox

Dombrowski was fired as president of baseball operations both due to the team’s on-field failures and because of philosophical differences with Red Sox management.

His actual personnel decisions, the focus of this analysis, managed to net a modestly positive short-term impact on the 2019 Sox. But the disappointing performance decline of the team’s core fatally undermined that small positive step and torpedoed playoff hopes.

That long-term core – the heart of virtually every team – managed only a +1.9 score. Compare that with the +13.2 long-term score produced by Brian Cashman’s Yankees, or the +8.3 a far less distinguished core generated for Tampa Bay’s Erik Neander.

Of that world championship core, Chris Sale, David Price, Mookie Betts and J.D. Martinez alone saw their performances decline by a combined 13.6 games in the 2019 MLB season. Admittedly that quartet had set a formidable bar in 2018 – Betts was the American League’s Most Valuable Player – but their production falloff proved impossible to offset.

Dombroski tried to offset those losses, but his acquisitions and signings/re-signings – Andrew Cashner, Steve Pearce, Jhoulys Chacin, Nathan Eovaldi – never had a chance to generate that kind of production.

Nor did Boston’s rookie class provide re-enforcements. The most highly touted of a dozen first-year players, infielder Michael Chavis, managed only a .254 average and fanned 127 times. Eight of those rookies were pitchers; they worked a combined nearly 300 innings and did net 2.1 WAA. That’s good for a rookie group, but way short of what was needed to offset the core’s failures.

Short-term acquisitions: -0.1

Short-term trade losses: +1.2

Short-term free agent signings: -2.9

Short-term free agent losses: +3.4

Short-term rookie production: -0.6

Short-term total: +1.0