Phillies: Rebuilding 2020’s pen from the ashes

PHILADELPHIA, PA - JUNE 22: Philadelphia Phillies Bench Coach Rob Thomson (59) makes a pitching change during the seventh inning of the game between the Miami Marlins and the Philadelphia Phillies on June 22. 2019, at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia PA. (Photo by Gregory Fisher/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
PHILADELPHIA, PA - JUNE 22: Philadelphia Phillies Bench Coach Rob Thomson (59) makes a pitching change during the seventh inning of the game between the Miami Marlins and the Philadelphia Phillies on June 22. 2019, at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia PA. (Photo by Gregory Fisher/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) /
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Would the Phillies entertain a return for Giles? Photo by Steve Russell/Toronto Star via Getty Images. /

The Numerical Bible:  

This review is not a sabermetrics article, which means no heavy statistical analysis. But because some readers rely on stats, this is only a reference: no reason to articulate the importance of these numbers.

* Phillies numbers only

Phillies statistical results toward 75-80 percent: 

  • Neris: 50 good, 3 so-so and 15 bad (2 blowups) out of 68 total for 77.9%
  • Alvarez: 43 good (1 opener), 8 so-so and 16 bad (1 blowup) out of 67 total for 76.1%
  • Morgan: 34 good, 2 so-so and 4 bad (3 blowups) out of 40 total for 90%
  • Suarez: 28 good, 3 so-so and 6 bad (0 blowups) out of 37 total for 83.8%
  • Dominguez: 16 good, 4 so-so and 7 bad (1 blowup) out of 27 total for 74.1%
  • Pivetta: 11 good, 1 so-so and 5 bad (1 blowup) out of 17 total for 70.6%
  • Velasquez: 6 good, 2 so-so and 2 bad (1 blowup) out of 10 total for 80%
  • Ramos: 10 good, 2 so-so and 8 bad (0 blowups) out of 20 total for 60%
  • *Morin: 18 good, 2 so-so and 9 bad (2 blowups) out of 29 total for 69%
  • *Hughes: 16 good, 2 so-so and 7 bad (1 blowup) out of 25 total for 72%
  • *Parker: 14 good, 1 so-so and 8 bad (0 blowups) out of 23 total for 65.2%
  • *Vincent: 9 good, 2 so-so and 3 bad (0 blowups) out of 14 total for 78.6%
  • A blowup is 4 ER for less than 2 innings or 3 ER for less than 1 inning.
    This is a running tally including inherited runners scoring.

Phillies targets’ statistical results toward 75-80 percent:  

  • Smith: 47 good, 3 so-so and 13 bad (0 blowups) out of 63 total for 79.4%
  • Hudson: 46 good, 5 so-so and 20 bad (1 blowup) out of 71 total for 71.8%
    With Washington: 17 good, 3 so-so and 4 bad (0 blowups) out of 24 total for 83.3%
  • Harris: 53 good, 6 so-so and 8 bad (0 blowups) out of 67 total for 88.1%
  • Givens: 37 good, 2 so-so and 19 bad (3 blowups) out of 58 total for 67.2%
  • Giles: 43 good, 2 so-so and 8 bad (0 blowups) out of 53 total for 84.9%
    A blowup is 4 ER for less than 2 innings or 3 ER for less than 1 inning.

Phillies targets 2019 stats: 

  • Smith, 30: 63 Gms., 65 1/3 Inn., a 2.76 ERA, 34 Saves, 4 BS, a 3.24 FIP, a 2.74 xFIP, a 2.72 SIERA, a 1.2 fWAR and a 1.03 WHIP.

Hudson, 32.5:

  • Total: 69 Gms. (1 opener), 73 Inn., a 2.47 ERA, 8 Saves, 11 Holds, a 3.97 FIP, a 5.08 xFIP, a 4.31 SIERA, a 0.9 fWAR and a 1.14 WHIP.
    Nationals: 24 Gms., 25 Inn., a 1.44 ERA, 6 Saves, 3 Holds and a 0.88 WHIP.
  • Harris, 35: 68 Gms., 60 Inn., a 1.50 ERA, 4 Saves, 26 Holds, a 3.15 FIP, a 3.04 xFIP, a 3.18 SIERA, a 1.1 fWAR and a 0.93 WHIP.
  • Givens, 29.5: 58 Gms., 63 Inn., a 4.57 ERA, 11 Saves, 7 Holds, a 4.50 FIP, a 3.62 xFIP, a 3.34 SIERA, a 0.5 fWAR and a 1.19 WHIP.
  • Giles, 29: 53 Gms., 53 Inn., a 1.87 ERA, 23 Saves, 1 BS, a 2.27 FIP, a 2.73 xFIP, a 2.49 SIERA, a 1.8 fWAR and a 1.00 WHIP.

Next. Dark side of analytics facing 2020 Phillies. dark

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