Phillies bullpen in 2020 can be helped by former ace

The Numerical Bible:

This review is not a sabermetrics article, which means no heavy statistical analysis. But because some readers rely on stats, this is only a reference: no reason to articulate the importance of these numbers.

Phillies 2020 competitive-balance threshold of $208 million:

• Estimates beginning at $186.2 million AAV
• including $10.3 million arb estimate for Realmuto.
• Hernandez: -$11.8 million via trade for $174.4 million AAV.
• Herrera: -$6.1 million via trade for $168.3 million AAV.
• Franco: -$6.7 million via non-tender for $161.6 million AAV.
• $208 million AAV minus $161.6 million AAV equals $46.4 million AAV.

Phillies right-handed targets: 

• Cole, 29: 33 Gms., 212 1/3 Inn., 20-5, a 2.50 ERA, a 2.64 FIP, a 2.48 xFIP, a 2.62 SIERA, a 7.4 fWAR and a 0.89 WHIP.
• Strasburg, 31: 33 Gms., 209 Inn., 18-6, a 3.32 ERA, a 3.25 FIP, a 3.17 xFIP, a 3.49 SIERA, a 5.7 fWAR and a 1.04 WHIP.
• Wheeler, 29.5: 31 Gms., 195 1/3 Inn., 11-8, a 3.96 ERA, a 3.48 FIP, a 4.06 xFIP, a 4.20 SIERA, a 4.7 fWAR and a 1.26 WHIP.

Phillies southpaw targets: 

• Ryu, 32.5: 29 Gms., 182 2/3 Inn., 14-5, a 2.32 ERA, a 3.10 FIP, a 3.32 xFIP, a 3.77 SIERA, a 4.8 fWAR and a 1.01 WHIP.
• Bumgarner, 30: 34 Gms., 207 2/3 Inn., 9-9, a 3.90 ERA, a 3.90 FIP, a 4.31 xFIP, a 4.15 SIERA, a 3.2 fWAR and a 1.13 WHIP.
• Hamels, almost 36: 27 Gms., 141 2/3 Inn., 7-7, a 3.81 ERA, a 4.09 FIP, a 4.38 xFIP, a 4.55 SIERA, a 2.5 fWAR and a 1.39 WHIP.
• Keuchel, almost 32: 19 Gms., 112 2/3 Inn., 8-8, a 3.75 ERA, a 4.72 FIP, a 4.06 xFIP, a 4.39 SIERA, a 0.8 fWAR and a 1.37 WHIP.

Phillies targets’ statistical results toward 75-80 percent:  

• Hudson: 47 good, 7 so-so and 15 bad (1 blowup) out of 69 total for 78.3%
  With Washington: 17 good, 3 so-so and 4 bad (0 blowups) out of 24 total for 83.3%
• Harris: 54 good, 6 so-so and 8 bad (0 blowups) out of 68 total for 88.2%
• Pomeranz: 22 good (1 opener), 3 so-so and 4 bad (0 blowups) out of 29 total for 86.2%

Phillies bullpen targets: 

• Hudson, 32.5:
• Total: 69 Gms. (1 opener), 73 Inn., a 2.47 ERA, 8 Saves, 11 Holds, a 3.97 FIP, a 5.08 xFIP, a 4.31 SIERA, a 0.9 fWAR and a 1.14 WHIP.
  Nationals: 24 Gms., 25 Inn., a 1.44 ERA, 6 Saves, 3 Holds and a 0.88 WHIP.
• Harris, 35: 68 Gms., 60 Inn., a 1.50 ERA, 4 Saves, 26 Holds, a 3.15 FIP, a 3.04 xFIP, a 3.18 SIERA, a 1.1 fWAR and a 0.93 WHIP.
• Pomeranz, 31: 29 Gms., 28 2/3 Inn., a 1.88 ERA, 2 Saves, 12 Holds, 0 BS, a 1.92 FIP and a 1.67 xFIP.

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