Crossroads:
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Decision time is here for the Phillies because even trading prospects for a setup man or a critical-inning fireman will exceed the $208 million AAV ceiling. But if they move Odubel Herrera, they would have payroll space for Hudson at $6 million AAV or Dellin Betances at $7 million AAV.
Phillies 2020 competitive-balance threshold of $208 million:
- Estimates beginning at $205.35 million AAV
- Herrera: -$6.1 million AAV via trade for $199.25 million AAV.
- Bruce: -$12 million AAV via trade for $187.25 million AAV.
- $208 million AAV minus $187.25 million AAV equals $20.75 million AAV.
For now, Jay Bruce is the left-handed bat off the bench, and Josh Harrison could be the right-side pinch hitter. Plus swapping Herrera and signing Betances would be a wash monetarily. Otherwise, they could keep Bruce plus ink a starter and a reliever after trading Herrera to go $10 million AAV over the CBT for a $2 million tax.
Bruce has value for a club that can absorb $12 million AAV but will only add $1.65 million for 2020’s payroll. Basically, Kentak doesn’t want to part with that bargain but might be open to pairing him with Herrera to acquire a starter. Or management may reconsider the $2 million tax in July instead of now.
First, do you stop after dealing Herrera and signing Betances or Hudson? Second, do you also move Bruce to ink a fifth starter? Lastly, do you surpass the CBT now or July? My choice: They’ll do the first option and wait until July to exceed the CBT, but I won’t gripe if I match a failing move. So, what would you do?
If you have any questions or opinions regarding the Philadelphia Phillies, please open the comments section.