Phillies: Low-to-high victory forecast for 2020

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The Phillies should pick up an additional victory if Nola has a solid April and September. Photo by Mitchell Layton/Getty Images.

Incrementally, the Phillies predictions here employ a moderate increase based on 2019’s misfortunes, a top-tier skipper recently signed, and the roster additions of general manager Matt Klentak if the team remains reasonably healthy.


Upward shift:   

While the Philadelphia Phillies faithful with the loudest and most persistent voices might convince and/or intimidate their optimistic brethren, are they the majority or an easily dissatisfied corner of the fan base? And these locals want most top decision-makers fired. Move the club instead?


“In the United States today, we have more than our share of the nattering nabobs of negativism. They have formed their own 4-H Club – the ‘hopeless, hysterical hypochondriacs of history.'” – Spiro T. Agnew (speechwriter William Safire)

Unlike the detractors’ beliefs, positive signs are at many positions: the infield, the outfield, catching and the mound. But some fans refuse to notice any hope-filled reasons. No, they argue there is only their correct view of the organization and its personnel.

Are the stars, execs and owners of the four major sports just convenient scapegoats for fans to vent their anger over life’s unpleasant side?  Unfortunately, this isn’t the only city or country: It’s everywhere with leisurely activities, but a victory can temporarily soothe it..

Some locals believe injured players will fail, and the others will match their lows from a partial or an entire season. Surprisingly, they allow a handful of favorites to receive no criticism, why? If you’re going to be 90 percent negative and only positive when necessary, is it a lip-service 10 percent?

Following 2018 and 2019, the negative supporters here have predicted a top expectation of a third-place tie with the New York Mets to a low of competing with the Miami Marlins for fourth place. But if the Fightins get off to a slow start, will they guarantee a drop to the National League East cellar with talk of a first overall draft pick?

My forecast doesn’t consider any signings or trades before April or August. Obviously, all teams have injuries, disappointments and surprises. To illustrate, 2011’s four aces set the franchise record with 102 triumphs but an NLDS defeat. Meanwhile, the 1980 and 2008 champions had their celebratory parades.

The starting point is the 81 wins before inking a front-of-the-rotation type and a left-handed shortstop with power. Rule of thumb: A manager can be worth five victories or losses, but Joe Girardi has always added more wins even with the Marlins. So, the expectation is 86 triumphs based on 2019’s record.

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