MLB win totals: NL West over or under according to Vegas

MLB win totals: NL West over or under according to Vegas

Arizona Diamondbacks

Win Total: 83

Prediction: Over

The D’Backs may hide in the Dodgers’ giant shadow, but that doesn’t take away from their entertaining brand of baseball. Arizona scored the 6th most runs in the NL last year and recorded the 7th best ERA. They fell just short of a wild card berth, marking an impressive season, especially considering the sale of their ace, Zack Greinke, in July.

There’s a new ace in town this year, as the Diamondbacks signed Madison Bumgarner to a five-year contract. The superstar southpaw should replace Greinke in fine fashion, with his arm and his bat. MadBum did allow home runs at a 1.3/nine-inning rate with the Giants in 2019, which is high for an Oracle Park resident. He’ll need to keep the ball in the yard at far-less-pitcher-friendly Chase Field.

It’s the rest of the rotation that will truly factor into the win total, however. What kind of seasons will the Diamondbacks get from Robbie Ray and Mike Leake, each of whom performed very inconsistently a year ago. Can Merrill Kelly hold is own? If not, can Zac Gallen step up?

This team is in great shape offensively and defensively. Their outfield is stellar with David Peralta and the additions of Starling Marte and Kole Calhoun. You’d have to expect 1B Christian Walker and C Carson Kelly to keep improving with time, and follow-up dominant campaigns from Ketel Marte and Eduardo Escobar would be much appreciated by the organization.

I believe this is a better team than last year’s version. Thus, I believe the Diamondbacks will win more than 83 games in 2020.

San Francisco Giants

Win Total: 71

Prediction: Over

The Bruce Bochy era is over. Gabe Kapler now takes command of a franchise that has seen far better days. But there’s always something to the Giants that elevates them beyond expectation. They surprised everyone last year by finishing third in the NL West and keeping within range of a wild card berth. We’ll see if Kapler can sustain the overachiever custom.

San Francisco’s roster doesn’t scream overachiever. Players are either really old or really young. They don’t have much power, nor do they have much depth. 2019 saw a -95 win differential plus a home record 11 games below .500.

The fate of their 2020 season falls in the grasp of their vets. What do Evan Longoria, Buster Posey, Brandon Crawford, Hunter Pence, Brandon Belt, and Johnny Cueto have left in the tank? Hunter Pence is the only one of that bunch that excited with the bat last season, and he was playing for the Texas Rangers. Longoria hit well; however, Posey, Crawford, and Belt had very underwhelming years.

Don’t expect much from the Giants this go around, but do expect more than 71 wins. They’ll find a way.