MLB Season Preview: AL Central X-Factors

CHICAGO - SEPTEMBER 29: Garrett Crochet #45 of the Chicago White Sox looks on against the Cincinnati Reds on September 29, 2021 at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Ron Vesely/Getty Images)
CHICAGO - SEPTEMBER 29: Garrett Crochet #45 of the Chicago White Sox looks on against the Cincinnati Reds on September 29, 2021 at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Ron Vesely/Getty Images)
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Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports /

X-Factors… Round Three! Halfway home! Week three, the final division of the American League in our tour of baseball’s X-Factors: secret weapons and make or break pieces for each AL Central team. The same rules as before applying, no trade candidates and no injury return candidates. You can see the AL West and AL East lists here.

Chicago White Sox: Relief Pitcher Garrett Crochet

I mean how can it not be Crochet, the dude can throw 102, When thinking of quintessential X-Factors, someone with Crochet’s profile springs to mind. A fastball so fast that sometimes it feels like there are flames coming out of the back.

One could make an Aroldis Chapman-esque comparison purely based on velocity alone but Garrett Crochet is not the second coming of him, but rather the first coming of Garrett Crochet. From his expedited path to the Majors, to the sheer power that Crochet possesses, there’s nothing ordinary about Crochet.

Perhaps the most impressive though, (as noted by FanSided’s own Mitchell Kaminski) is Crochet’s development as he learns how to pitch, not just be a flamethrower. Crochet’s fastball velocity would usually be cause for concern, but with an improved offspeed pitch mix, the results for Crochet were great. In his first full season in the MLB, Crochet pitched 54.1 innings of 2.82 ERA to go along with a 1.27 WHIP.  If Crochet can be a constant producer in a White Sox bullpen with quite a few shuffling pieces, it will give Tony La Russa plenty of margin for error late in games.

Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports /

Detroit Tigers: Starting Pitcher Tarik Skubal

It had to be one of the three-headed pitching monster that is slowly coming into shape in the Motor City (four-headed if you include Alex Lange).

For argument’s sake let’s presume that Casey Mize becomes the bonafide ace that the Tigers used the number 1 overall draft pick in 2018, this is by no means a guarantee, but the early returns in his first full season seem to be promising.

The next order of business for the Tigers is to make sure that the rest of the young pitching core follows in Mize’s footsteps. Skubal is a good place to start, he pitched to a 4.34 ERA/1.26 WHIP, compare that to Mize’s 3.71/1.14. Skubal gave up 35 home runs which tied him for third-most only behind Mike Foltynewicz, Patrick Corbin, and Jordan Lyles. If Skubal can solve his long ball issues, he will be well on his way to becoming the clear number two in a young rotation.

Cleveland Guardians: Centerfielder Myles Straw

I debated quite a bit between Straw and reliever James Karinchak. Once Straw got out of Houston and wasn’t overshadows by the plethora of stars in Houston, not only did Straw’s numbers improve from hitting higher in the order, but Straw also thrived with the increased pressure coming over to the Guardians in the Phil Maton trade.

In 60 games with Cleveland, Straw had a .285/.362/.377 triple-slash line, albeit in a smaller sample of games.  If Straw can sustain those numbers over a full 162, Straw becomes a centerpiece to the mini-rebuild the Guardian undertook ever since letting go of Francisco Lindor.

Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports /

Kansas City Royals: Starting Pitcher Jackson Kowar

Kowar is by far the most unproven player on the X-Factors lists. The Royals have a very interesting core of young pitchers developing with Kowar, Kris Bubic, and Brady Singer.

He has seen little to no success in his two stints at the big league level, but every indication seems to point that it’s nothing more than transition pains into the majors. In just over 30 innings pitched, Kowar has an ERA over 11 and WHIP over 2, unsightly for sure but as cliche, as it may sound, big-league nerves are a real thing.

I remember as an Angels fan watching his debut against the halos, his stuff was good. Really good. He was so nervous (as Angels’ color commentator Mark Gubicza astutely pointed out) that he was chewing the crap out of his gum to try and relieve his nervous energy. Having said all of that, at some point he needs to prove that he can sustain prolonged periods in the majors like Bubic and Singer already have.

Next. AL East X-factors. dark

Minnesota Twins: Outfielder Trevor Larnach

Larnach can be one of the premier sluggers in the league, he showed that ability at Oregon State, and at some point that will translate.

In 79 games Larnach only hit seven home runs, I wouldn’t be surprised that he at least gets 25 if he gets the chance to play a full season. It’s easy to forget that just one year ago, the Twins were tabbed by many to be the clear favorites in this division.

Yes, Jose Berrios is gone but I don’t think I’m the only one afraid to count out the Twins entirely. Buxton and an improved Larnach does not sound bad at all in the outfield.

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