10 MLB players projected to have monster seasons in 2023

As we inch closer and closer to the start of MLB spring training, it’s a great time to look ahead to some of the projections for the 2023 season and see which players are primed to make a run for American League and National League MVP honors.

The 10 MLB players who are projected for monster 2023 campaigns

Let’s begin the list by stating that the statistics included with each player come from the Steamer projections on FanGraphs. We made sure in the initial Steamer data set to include every position player who could make an impact in 2023, so it was quite a long list that was narrowed down to the top 10.

10. Ronald Acuña Jr., Atlanta Braves

Projected fWAR — 5.4

Projected slash line — .270/.367/.486 with 31 home runs and 81 RBI

After watching what Acuña did in his brief time in the Venezuelan league, Braves fans are certainly excited about what could be to come for the 25-year-old outfielder. Acuña played in 119 games last season and there was some talk about him battling knee soreness during the dog days of the campaign. However, he looks fully recovered from the horrific knee injury and subsequent surgery in 2021 and ready to make an impact in 2023.

9. Fernando Tatis Jr., San Diego Padres

Projected fWAR — 5.5

Projected slash line — .283/.365/.574 with 35 home runs and 91 RBI

Now this would be a way for Tatis Jr. to reintroduce himself to Padres fans (as well as the rest of the MLB fanbase) after a turbulent few months filled with injuries and a PED suspension.

The Padres are certainly counting on a stat-filled year from Tatis, pairing him with the rest of a lineup that has the firepower to potentially knock the Los Angeles Dodgers off the top of the National League West. After a run to the NLCS last season (without Tatis), can the 24-year-old slugger help San Diego go even further in 2023?

8. Yordan Alvarez, Houston Astros

Projected fWAR — 5.5

Projected slash line — .283/.375/.556 with 36 home runs and 105 RBI

The 25-year-old Alvarez earned his first All-Star Game appearance last season and ended the campaign by hitting a career-high 37 homers as he helped the Astros win the World Series. He was a nightmare for the Seattle Mariners in the ALDS, hitting a pair of pivotal home runs to help the Astros escape the round.

Houston is geared for another run at the Fall Classic this season, and Alvarez will likely be a big part of the success in south Texas.

7. Wander Franco, Tampa Bay Rays

Projected fWAR — 5.5

Projected slash line — .286/.348/.453 with 16 home runs and 75 RBI

Yes, this could well be the year that we see the Franco breakout for the Rays. After playing in 83 games last season, the 21-year-old Franco is projected to be the Opening Day starter at shortstop for the Rays and FanGraphs has him playing in 144 games this season, just under the 153 he has played in the first two seasons he has suited up for Tampa Bay.

Franco missed two months last season with a hamate bone injury, keeping him from exploding onto the scene in 2022. If he stays healthy, 2023 could very well be the season we see exactly what he can bring to the present and future for the Rays.

6. Mike Trout, Los Angeles Angels

Projected fWAR — 5.6

Projected slash line — .256/.360/.520 with 39 home runs and 99 RBI

Entering his age-31 season, Trout continues to be in the prime of his career, one that will eventually lead to a spot in Cooperstown. But will it ever lead back to the postseason? This feels like potentially the best chance, knowing the uncertain future of Shohei Ohtani in an Angels uniform.

Trout put together a 40-homer, 80-RBI season in 2022, so these projections give him more RBI in 2023, meaning his teammates are giving him the chance to drive them home. It’s going to take a team effort to get the Angels out of a top-heavy AL West and into the playoffs, but Trout, provided he stays healthy, is projected once again to do everything he can to make that happen.

5. Adley Rutschman, Baltimore Orioles

Projected fWAR — 5.6

Projected slash line — .256/.357/.438 with 19 home runs and 66 RBI

Rutschman burst onto the MLB scene in 2022, and Steamer certainly doesn’t think he’s in line for a sophomore slump in 2023.

The Orioles and their youth movement leading to wins were one of the best stories in all of MLB in 2022, and Rutschman will once again be looked to for his skills behind the plate and his offensive performance in 2023 as Baltimore looks to compete in what will be another rough AL East.

Entering his second season, Rutschman is projected to be one of the top catchers in the game this season.

2. Aaron Judge, New York Yankees

Projected fWAR — 6.9

Projected slash line — .275/.382/.554 with 44 home runs and 106 RBI

Judge is ranked second on the list … and the numbers that are projected for him in 2023 would actually be considered a down year for him following last season’s MVP performance. That tells you just how good Judge was in 2022 and how much he meant to the Yankees.

With the contract drama behind him, Judge can focus on mashing baseballs and helping the Yankees finally get back to the World Series in 2023. The big question is this: How much will Judge’s teammates really help him in that quest this season? The next-highest Yankees player on the Steamer projection list is Gleyber Torres (coming in at number 55, 3.4 fWAR), so Judge may have to carry the Yankees once again this season (a familiar theme from the team’s 2022 performance).

1. Juan Soto, San Diego Padres

Projected fWAR — 7.1

Projected slash line — .281/.431/.528 with 33 home runs and 95 RBI

At just 24 years old, Soto is projected to be the most dominant MLB player next season. Soto slashed just .236/.388/.390 in 52 games last season after being acquired in a trade with the Washington Nationals. This season, with Soto settled in and the Padres constructing a lineup where he is a part of it rather than the focal point, projections have Soto evolving into a monster at the dish, similar to when he finished second in the NL MVP voting in 2021.

San Diego is loaded with potential MVP candidates in 2023, but Soto leads the list not only for his own team but, according to these projections, the entire NL as well.