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Dodgers, Padres, more: A May bold prediction for every NL West team

By Jonathan Northall

Apr 17, 2023; Los Angeles, California, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers third baseman Max Muncy (13) is greeted after hitting a solo home run against the New York Mets during the sixth inning at Dodger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports
Apr 17, 2023; Los Angeles, California, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers third baseman Max Muncy (13) is greeted after hitting a solo home run against the New York Mets during the sixth inning at Dodger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports /
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Apr 28, 2023; Denver, Colorado, USA; Arizona Diamondbacks left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (12), center fielder Alek Thomas (5) and right fielder Corbin Carroll (7) celebrate defeating the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports
Apr 28, 2023; Denver, Colorado, USA; Arizona Diamondbacks left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (12), center fielder Alek Thomas (5) and right fielder Corbin Carroll (7) celebrate defeating the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports /

San Diego Padres – Matt Carpenter to lead RBI

Matt Carpenter has been, along with Nelson Cruz, integral to the San Diego Padres’ scoring ability in NL West in 2023. Both Carpenter and Cruz have 16 RBI each and are leading the Padres. It’s an interesting stat when you consider the Padres have Xander Bogaerts, Juan Soto, Manny Machado, and Fernando Tatís Jr. in their line-up.

Carpenter’s 16 RBI have driven in Bogaerts and Jake Cronenworth five times each, and the prediction is that this form will continue in May. Carpenter has 10 RBI in the last seven games to punctuate his useful stats: .250 BA, .369 OBP, .908 OPS.

Based on Carpenter’s hot streak, and the return of Tatís Jr. to spark the Padres’ offensive capabilities, the prediction is that he will lead RBI for the Padres in May.

Arizona Diamondbacks – will record .750 at home

In the month of May, the Arizona Diamondbacks have two home stints. In the first one, they will meet the Washington Nationals (.370), Miami Marlins (.552), then finish with a four-game series against the San Francisco Giants (.407).

May ends with the back-to-back series against the Boston Red Sox (.517) and the Colorado Rockies (.310) at Chase Field.

Surprisingly, it is only the Nationals who have a winning record on the road in 2023 with 7-6. When considering each opponent’s record against >.500 teams in 2023, the Marlins are 7-6 (home and away), whereas all the rest have incurred far more losses than wins.

The Diamondbacks are 8-6 at home, but the prediction is that they will win 12 of their 16 home games in May.

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