Philadelphia Phillies' best-case and worst-case scenarios for 2024 season

Feb 28, 2024; Clearwater, Florida, USA; Philadelphia Phillies first baseman Bryce Harper (3) looks
Feb 28, 2024; Clearwater, Florida, USA; Philadelphia Phillies first baseman Bryce Harper (3) looks / Kim Klement Neitzel-USA TODAY Sports
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Phillies' most realistic scenario

Philadelphia’s best asset is the return of Harper to a full season’s worth of duty. Stott, Bohm and Marsh may also be better. But any improvement they collectively generate is probably offset by the likelihood of deteriorating skills elsewhere -- and we’re looking at you, Aaron Nola and J.T. Realmuto.

The Phillies won 90 games last season, and can probably approach that total in 2024. They’re fortunate in one aspect: none of the three NL East teams that trailed them in 2023 made an aggressive stride toward improvement this winter.

That means a third straight runner-up finish in the division remains likely, and second in the NL East is generally good for a playoff ticket.

But the Phillies have no guarantees. Outside their division, the Reds, Cubs, Pirates, Cardinals and Padres all have some potential to hijack their playoff ticket.

Yankees' best-case and worst-case scenarios for 2024 (calltothepen.com)