Philadelphia Phillies' best-case and worst-case scenarios for 2024 season
By Bill Felber
![Feb 28, 2024; Clearwater, Florida, USA; Philadelphia Phillies first baseman Bryce Harper (3) looks Feb 28, 2024; Clearwater, Florida, USA; Philadelphia Phillies first baseman Bryce Harper (3) looks](https://images2.minutemediacdn.com/image/upload/c_crop,w_4797,h_2698,x_0,y_0/c_fill,w_720,ar_16:9,f_auto,q_auto,g_auto/images/ImagnImages/mmsport/135/01hrck643ftm4h2hyfv2.jpg)
Phillies' most realistic scenario
Philadelphia’s best asset is the return of Harper to a full season’s worth of duty. Stott, Bohm and Marsh may also be better. But any improvement they collectively generate is probably offset by the likelihood of deteriorating skills elsewhere -- and we’re looking at you, Aaron Nola and J.T. Realmuto.
The Phillies won 90 games last season, and can probably approach that total in 2024. They’re fortunate in one aspect: none of the three NL East teams that trailed them in 2023 made an aggressive stride toward improvement this winter.
That means a third straight runner-up finish in the division remains likely, and second in the NL East is generally good for a playoff ticket.
But the Phillies have no guarantees. Outside their division, the Reds, Cubs, Pirates, Cardinals and Padres all have some potential to hijack their playoff ticket.
Yankees' best-case and worst-case scenarios for 2024 (calltothepen.com)