World Series Game 7: The 10 most decisive moments in MLB history

World Series Game 7 is the ultimate sports showdown. It’s the climax of an intense, six-month drama, and it is not infrequently spiced with moments where the outcome hinges literally on one play.

That fact makes the history of those decisive moments spectacular in itself. We are discussing here instances where the fate of the championship swung.

In eight of the 10 instances detailed below, that was the case. The team benefitting from the pivotal play went on to claim the trophy, either at that instant or soon afterward.

But fate is not always kind. In two of these 10 most decisive moments, fate later turned away from its favored child and anointed a different champion.

The standard of measurement is Win Probability Added, a relatively new statistic that calculates the extent to which the play in question influenced the game’s outcome.

Two Game 7s are represented twice on this list, and they are considered by historians to have been two of the most monumental games ever played. Those two were the seventh games of the Series of 1924 and 1960.

Here are the 10 most decisive moments from the history of World Series Game 7

t-9. Hugh McQuillen, 1924 New York Giants. The climactic game of the 1924 World Series between the Washington Senators and New York Giants is a candidate for greatest game ever played. Not only were the stakes (a world championship) at the highest possible level, but the game wound through 12 innings and featured two of the most memorable plays in baseball history.

This particular decisive moment unfolds in the bottom of the ninth inning at Griffith Stadium. The Nationals have rallied late to cement a 3-3 tie (more on that in a bit) and now stand poised to claim the championship. With one out, Nats first baseman Joe judge has singled and advanced all the way to third when Giants shortstop Travis Jackson fumbled away a potential force at second.

With the Series winning run 90 feet from home and just one out, Giants manager John McGraw summoned Hugh McQuillen, normally a starter, in from the bullpen to face Ralph Miller. McQuillen had gone 14-8 with a 2.69 ERA in 24 starts that season, but he’d made just four relief appearances.

But with the Series on the line, McQuillen induced a ground ball from Miller to Jackson, who flipped to Frank Frisch at second and then on to first for a game-saving double play. The Giants would not be finished off in the regulation nine innings. McQuillen Win Probability Added: 33 percent.

t-9. Howie Kendrick, 2019 Washington Nationals. The American League champion Houston Astros led the Nationals 2-0 through six innings of Game Seven of the 2019 World Series. Astros starter Zack Greinke had held Washington to just one hit when he retired Adam Eaton to open the seventh.

But then Anthony Rendon touched Greinke for a home run, and when Juan Soto walked Astros manager A.J. Hinch summoned Will Harris to face the next batter, Kendrick.

Harris’ first pitch was a strike, and his second, a cutter, dived toward the low outside corner of the strike zone. Kendrick reached out and sent the ball arcing toward the right field foul pole. When it clanged off that pole, he had a two-run game-tying and momentum-turning home run.

The Nats added three more late runs and won the game 6-2, claiming the Series. Kendrick Win Probability Added: 33 percent.

8. Joe Morgan, 1975 Cincinnati Reds. Everybody recalls Game 6 of the 1975 World Series for Carlton Fisk’s 12th inning home run. That drama tends to overshadow the equally memorable Game 7, won by Cincinnati over Boston 4-3 on Morgan’s ninth-inning hit.

The contest was a 3-3 tie entering the ninth, which opened with a Ken Griffey base on balls. Cesar Geronimo sacrificed the lead run to second base, he took third on Dan Driessen’s ground out, and Pete Rose walked.

That set the stage for Morgan, one of the most feared clutch hitters of his time. With a 1-2 count, Morgan managed  to get his bat on an outside pitch and loop it into short center field allowing Griffey to come across with the go-ahead and eventual Series winning run.

When Reds reliever Will McEnany retired the Red Sox in order in the bottom of the ninth, Cincinnati had the city’s first World Series win since 1940. Morgan Win Probability Added: 34 percent.

7. Joe Harris, 1924 Washington Senators. The 1924 Giants might not have needed Hugh McQuillen’s previously mentioned ninth inning heroics if they had been able to preserve a 3-1 lead one inning earlier. The Senators had loaded the bases with two out when player-manager Bucky Harris bounced what appeared to be an inning-ending ground ball toward 18-year-old rookie third baseman Fred Lindstrom.

But as Lindstrom prepared to field it, the ball struck a pebble and caromed wildly over his head into left field. The unlikely bounce allowed Nemo Leibold and Muddy Ruel to race around with the two game-tying runs.

The game proceeded into the 12th inning still tied at 3-3 when, remarkably, history repeated itself. This time it was Earl McNeely who hit the ground ball that caromed over Lindstrom’s head and into left field, scoring Ruel from second with the Series winning run.

Due to the game situation – only one out, runners at first and second – McNeely’s hit actually only swung the odds of winning 28 percent in Washington’s favor, not enough to make this list. But Harris’s eighth inning hit, rallying the Nats from a two-run deficit into a tie, does make the list. Harris Win Probability Added: 35 percent.

6. Jim Northrup, 1968 Detroit Tigers. The concluding game of the 1968 World Series between the St. Louis Cardinals and Detroit Tigers featured a pair of pitchers seeking thir third Series victory. Bob Gibson had won Games 1 and 4 for St. Louis, while Mickey Lolich won Games 2 and 5 for the Tigers.

Through six innings, neither pitcher had given up a run, Gibson allowing just one hit, Lolich just four. Gibson retired the first two batters he faced in the top of the seventh before Norm Cash and Willie Horton put together back-to-back singles. That brought Northrup to the plate.

Northrup lifted a fly ball deep into center field at Busch Stadium. But normally reliable Cardinal center fielder Curt Flood misjudged the ball, initially coming in before racing back in a vain attempt to corral Northrup’s blow. The ball flew over Flood’s head and rolled to the wall for a triple, Cash and Horton both scoring. Northrup came home on Bill Freehan’s double into the left field corner, and with Lolich completing a five-hitter for his third Series victory, the Tigers won 4-1. Northrup Win Probability Added: 36 percent.

5. Bill Mazeroski, 1960 Pittsburgh Pirates. Shocked to see Mazeroski’s iconic Game 7-winning walk-off home run this low on the list? Its placement here is a product of mathematical circumstances.

As Maz came to bat, his Pirates and the New York Yankees were tied 9-9 in the decisive game. That game was played at Pittsburgh’s Forbes Field, meaning the Pirates – with last at bats – had a natural statistical advantage. Combine that with the fact that there were none out and the Pirates already had a 63 percent chance of winning the game – at some point that inning or in a later one, if not immediately.

This obviously does not diminish what Mazeroski accomplished in hitting the only Game Seven walk-off homer in World Series history. It simply puts it in mathematical context. Mazeroski Win Probability Added: 37 percent.

4. Rajai Davis, 2016 Cleveland Indians. With the Giants’ Hugh McQuillen earlier on this list, Davis is the only player to have turned the Game Seven odds so dramatically in his team’s favor in a game they eventually lost.

This of course is the Series in which the Chicago Cubs broke their 108-year World Series drought, beating Davis’ Indians 8-7 in 10 innings at Cleveland’s Progressive Field. It would have been much simpler but for Davis.

The Cubs led 6-4 in the eighth inning of that concluding game and were just four outs from their long-awaited championship when Davis came to the plate against Aroldis Chapman with two out and Brandon Guyer at second base.

Davis worked the count to 2-2 on Chapman, then somehow turned around a 100-mph fastball and lifted it just over the wall down the left field line for a stunning, game-tying home run. For Davis, the only problem was that it turned out to be not quite enough. The Cubs won 8-7 on Ben Zobrist’s 10th inning hit. Davis Win Probability Added: 39 percent.

3. Tony Womack, 2001 Arizona Diamondbacks. The final game of the 2001 World Series between the Arizona Diamondbacks and New York Yankees is another frequently mentioned when the subject of greatest games arises. That game, which Arizona won 3-2, featured a lead change in the eighth inning and another in the ninth, Womack playing a pivotal role.

At Chase Field in Phoenix, the visiting Yankees had broken a 1-1 tie with Alfonso Soriano’s eighth inning home run. Now, with Hall of Fame closer Mariano Rivera on the mound, they sought to wrap it up. Mark Grace, the first hitter, threw a hitch into those plans with a line single, and when Damien Miller attempted to bunt pinch runner David Dellucci into scoring position Rivera threw wildly to second.

An unsuccessful sacrifice later, Womack came up and played his role. On a 2-2 count, he laced a double toward the right field line, pinch runner Midre Cummings scoring the tying run and Jay Bell – who had reached on the forceout of Dellucci at third – went to third.

After Rivera hit Craig Counsell to load the bases, Luis Gonzalez struck the hump-back liner into short center that scored Bell with the championship run. Gonzalez is the one whose hit we celebrate today, but Womack – with the hit that erased New York’s lead – had statistically the more impactful blow. Womack Win Probability Added: 50 percent.