Fantasy baseball: 2 third basemen to buy low and 1 to sell high

LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - MAY 15: Max Muncy #13 of the Los Angeles Dodgers celebrates after hitting a one run home run against starting pitcher Pablo Lopez #49 of the Minnesota Twins during the first inning at Dodger Stadium on May 15, 2023 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images)
LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - MAY 15: Max Muncy #13 of the Los Angeles Dodgers celebrates after hitting a one run home run against starting pitcher Pablo Lopez #49 of the Minnesota Twins during the first inning at Dodger Stadium on May 15, 2023 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images)
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It’s fantasy baseball season, and the competition is in full swing. Roto or head-to-head or even Roto h2h, the excitement is never-ending, yet it can sometimes seem overwhelming with all the daily lineups, add/drops, waiver wires, and the ever-difficult trades. Memorial Day is approaching fast, and fantasy baseball managers are getting into their daily grind.

The preseason planning and draft choices are becoming evident, and rosters constantly need adjusting. The difference between a fantasy championship and a season-long bust is knowing how and when to make the right moves. The key to fantasy success is to buy low and sell high. Today we discuss two fantasy baseball third basemen to buy low and two to sell high.

Fantasy baseball: Buy all Tampa Bay Rays, but especially Issac Paredes

The Tampa Bay Rays are having a historic season offensively. As a result, all Rays players are fantasy gold right now. Yandy Diaz, Wander Franco, Josh Lowe, and Randy Arozarena are all in the top 10 fantasy baseball hitters. But little-known Isaac Paredes could be why you are claiming the trophy at the end of the year.

The Tampa Bay Rays infielder is bursting onto the fantasy baseball scene in his second full season. Paredes was adequate in his rookie season with the Rays last year, but has been unbelievable this year. His stat line of .287/.362/.847 with 24 runs and 29 RBI has him in the top five of fantasy baseball third basemen. Watch this long ball if you still don’t know about Issac Paredes.

Here is where it gets better for Paredes … he is eligible to start in fantasy leagues at 1B, 2B, and 3B, as fantasy baseball managers know that versatility can be pretty valuable. Additionally, he is available to pick up in 33 percent of major-site fantasy leagues.

In recent trades involving Paredes, players like Jon Gray, Dylan Cease, and even Andrew Benintendi have been used to acquire him. Paredes ranked in the mid-80s of all fantasy baseball players on the major sites and has hit .455 with two homers and eight RBI in the last week. As a result, I’m placing a big buy order for the Rays’ third baseman.

SEATTLE, WASHINGTON – MAY 10: Josh Jung #6 of the Texas Rangers leads off first base against the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park on May 10, 2023 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images)
SEATTLE, WASHINGTON – MAY 10: Josh Jung #6 of the Texas Rangers leads off first base against the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park on May 10, 2023 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images) /

Josh Jung could be the AL Rookie of the Year

Texas Rangers rookie Josh Jung has been one of the most anticipated prospects to come up through Arlington. He has delivered on the expectations and is the top contender for the AL Rookie of the Year Award.

If you are in a keeper league, odds are you’re jumping for joy and harvesting the fruit of the long hours pouring over prospect analysis. However, for the seasonal fantasy managers, Josh Jung must be in your daily lineup. It’s only mid-May, and Jung is just heating up. He’s getting better. Watch this ball in all of its 418 feet of Texas gold leave the park in Cincinnati.

So far this season, his stat line is .250/.292/.730 with eight home runs, 26 runs, 25 RBI, and a stolen base. Right now, he is fantasy viable, but if you look at these last 14 games, a big stat pops out. His strikeout-to-at-bats ratio is going down.

This is the rookie growth you look for as he has the hitting ability but is getting better with quality at-bats. Soon we will see his strikeouts go down and walks go up. When that happens, he will be a perennial first-round pick in fantasy baseball.

Ranking in the mid-to-late 110s in all the big three sites, Jung is available to pick up off the waiver wire in 30 percent of leagues. In recent trades, fantasy managers acquired Jung for players like Jake Cronenworth, Nolan Arenaldo, and even Kris Bryant.

Make a move on Jung before he is out of reach as he will be a roster staple by the All-Star break. So that’s a buy order on Rangers third baseman Josh Jung.

Apr 10, 2023; San Francisco, California, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers third baseman Max Muncy (13) follows through on his three-run home run against the San Francisco Giants during the third inning at Oracle Park. Mandatory Credit: D. Ross Cameron-USA TODAY Sports
Apr 10, 2023; San Francisco, California, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers third baseman Max Muncy (13) follows through on his three-run home run against the San Francisco Giants during the third inning at Oracle Park. Mandatory Credit: D. Ross Cameron-USA TODAY Sports /

Fantasy baseball sell alert: Max Muncy

Lastly, we get to the Dodgers third baseman Max Muncy. Muncy is having a career year. He is second in all of Major League Baseball in home runs. So if he is on your fantasy team right now, you are loving life.

Muncy is on pace for 57 home runs, 129 RBI, and 113 runs, and that should be enough to have him in the NL MVP conversations. That is amazing for fantasy owners as Max Muncy could be the fantasy baseball MVP.

Watch his 13th dinger of the season fly here in this video.

Taking a closer look at his numbers, however, I’m not a believer. For starters, he recently had a collision with the left-field wall and has some swelling in his knee. While the Dodgers have him day to day as it’s not severe, he was back in the lineup Thursday. It’s probably nothing, but I get weary of swelling knees in power hitters at 32 years old.

Secondly, Muncy’s May has been unexceptional. While his appeal is his home runs, he only has four in May and is batting .196. Those aren’t fantasy baseball MVP numbers. As a matter of fact, his .220 average is suspect.

With a .220 batting average, sitting out every three days, and this knee swelling, it’s a good idea to see what you can get for Muncy on the trade market. He currently is ranked in the 30s across the major fantasy sites and is the third-ranked third baseman. Recent trades for Muncy have yielded Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Austin Riley, Ozzie Albies, and Justin Steele. I like the Justin Steele option the best, but more on that in another post.

The reality is Muncy will not keep up this production, and I believe the 15 home runs are a fluke. Muncy’s best year was when he hit 36 and had to hit .249 to do it. I would be surprised if Muncy hits 20 more the rest of the year. So sell Muncy now while the market for him is still hot.

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