MLB: Will We Ever See Another Player Reach 500 Home Runs?

Young sluggers

Before moving on to the odds of more established players, let’s take a look at a trio of young power hitters that have begun their assaults on the home run record books. In 10 to 15 years, we may be looking at one or more of them as the newest members of the 500 home run club.

The headliner is Mike Trout, which should come as no surprise. Since bursting onto the big league scene as a 20-year-old in 2012, all the New Jersey native has done is win an American League MVP award and finish as runner-up for three others. Still only 24, Trout has already hit over 150 home runs, and according to the projection has a 51 percent chance of reaching 500.

Giancarlo Stanton is next in line behind Trout with a 33 percent chance of reaching the mark. Himself just 26 years old, the Miami Marlins masher is already closing in on the 200 homer plateau, and has become infamous for his tape-measure blasts and ridiculous exit velocities.

The man most often compared to Trout is next on the list. Last year’s National League MVP, Bryce Harper is only 23 years old and passed the 100 home run mark at the beginning of the season. The projection says there is a 31 percent chance that he will make the 500 home run club fun again before he hangs up his spikes.

Next: The odds are not in your favor.